FNUS74 KMAF 121347
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR PECOS RIVER...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
847 AM CDT WED MAY 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 MDT ON MAY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A DRYLINE LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE BURN SITE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST
TODAY INTO WEST TEXAS. BEHIND THIS LINE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. RH/S WILL
DROP TO NEAR 5 PERCENT BY LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE BY SUNSET
WITH POOR RH RECOVERY EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING COOLER
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY ALONG WITH A NORTH WIND. MINIMUM LATE AFTERNOON RH/S
ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 18 PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........6 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR /0-14000 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT /308000 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (MDT)      9 AM         1 PM         5 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............74           90           95
RH..............15           8            6
20 FT WIND DIR..VRB          SW           SW
20 FT WIND SPD..4            16           24
20 FT WIND GUST.             26           34
MIX HGT (FT)....2000         7500         11000
TRANSP WIND DIR.W            SW           SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7            21           28

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PCT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........35 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT /276000 KNOT-FT/ DECREASING TO POOR
                    /0-5000 KNOT-FT/ IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............92           69           57
RH..............6            15           25
20 FT WIND DIR..W            W            W
20 FT WIND SPD..23           10           5
20 FT WIND GUST.33           17
MIX HGT (FT)....11500        500          < 100
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW           NW           NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.24           10           7

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR /0-14000 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT /95000 KNOT-FT/ LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............48           68           80
RH..............35           21           18
20 FT WIND DIR..N            N            E
20 FT WIND SPD..10           12           8
20 FT WIND GUST.             20           16
MIX HGT (FT)....< 100        1500         6500
TRANSP WIND DIR.N            N            W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9            9            2

$$

FORECASTER...CICCONE
REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER WARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100512.PECOS.02/MAF