FNUS73 KBIS 131449
FWSBIS

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELKHORN...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
949 AM CDT THU MAY 13 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0940 MDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING AREAS OF LIGHT
TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS TO CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA THIS
MORNING...GRADUALLY DIMINISHING WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON. ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM...OVER WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND THE
PRESCRIBED BURN SITE...FORECAST MODELS DO INDICATE SOME WEAK
INSTABILITY WHICH MAY BE ENOUGH TO TRIGGER AN AFTERNOON SHOWER OR
TWO. ANY PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OVER THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA WILL
BE LIGHT AT BEST.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED LIGHT
                    RAIN SHOWER TODAY.
                    TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 62.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT AROUND 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WINDS BECOMING MORE NORTHWEST AT AROUND 5 TO 15 MPH
                    THIS AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...HEINERT
REQUESTED BY...SKALSKY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100513.ELKHO.01/BIS