FNUS75 KGJT 131538
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DOE CANYON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
937 AM MDT THU MAY 13 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF SHOWERS EXTENDED FROM ABOUT THE BURN SITE
NORTHEAST TO ASPEN THIS MORNING. THIS AREA WILL LIKELY PERSIST
MUCH OF THE DAY AS SOME CLEARING APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST. AFTERNOON HEATING WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME REJUVENATION
OF CLOUDS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. A LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN
OVER THE REGION WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER
MOUNTAINS FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS. PERIOD
                    OF PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) FROM 1100 TO 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 4-7 MPH. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 10 MPH
                    AFTER 1300. GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR SHOWERS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT BY 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH AFTER 2100.
                    MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH. OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 18 MPH
                    AFTER 1100.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...BRAD PIETRUSZKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100513.DOECA.01/GJT