FNUS75 KGJT 131550
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DOLORES RIM...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
950 AM MDT THU MAY 13 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF SHOWERS EXTENDED FROM ABOUT THE BURN SITE NORTHEAST TO
ASPEN THIS MORNING. THIS AREA WILL LIKELY PERSIST MUCH OF THE DAY
AS SOME CLEARING APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST. AFTERNOON
HEATING WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME REJUVENATION OF CLOUDS LATER THIS
AFTERNOON. A LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION WITH
ISOLATED SHOWERS MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS.
                    OCCASIONALLY PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) FROM 1100 TO 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 4-7 MPH. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 10 MPH AFTER 1300.
                    GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR A SHOWER.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 12500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-69%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST (DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY) 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL BY 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH AFTER 2100.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 2-4 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST IN 5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (209000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...BRAD PIETRUSZKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100513.DOLOR.01/GJT