FNUS75 KGJT 131444
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR CANYON...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
844 AM MDT THU MAY 13 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 MDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF SHOWERS STRETCHED FROM MONTROSE TO ASPEN
EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS AREA WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
THIS AFTERNOON WITH DAYTIME OF AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST FRIDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LOW FORMS OVER UTAH
AND LIKELY INCREASE SOUTHERLY TRANSPORT WINDS ON FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-32%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-6 MPH BY 1300.
                    OCCASIONAL WEST GUSTS TO 12 MPH AFTER 1300.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL BY 1200...INCREASING TO 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    WEST 10 MPH AT 1200 INCREASING TO 16 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32 F.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR AFTER 2000.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL BY 2000...DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    5 MPH BY 2100.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-7 MPH BY 1300.
                    OCCASIONAL SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    AFTER 1300. SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING
                    EXCELLENT (180700 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL AT 1200...INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTHEAST 8 MPH
                    AT 1200 BECOMING SOUTH 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...J  CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100513.TAYLO.01/GJT