FNUS76 KMFR 130124
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER CREEK HAND PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
624 PM PDT WED MAY 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE REGION AND A THERMAL TROUGH OVER
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS WILL ALSO PROVIDE WARMER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS. IT WILL REMAIN MILD FRIDAY BUT A WEAK DISTURBANCE
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON WILL PRODUCE SOME LOW TOPPED CUMULUS WITH
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHEAST WIND 1 TO 4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH BECOMING 3 TO 7 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....DOWNSLOPE WIND 0 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHEAST WIND 0 TO 2 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 2
                    TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 11 TO 16 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...KYLE MIKOLAJCZYK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100513.BEAVE.01/MFR