FNUS75 KMSO 131828
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR KELLYS RIDGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1228 PM MDT THU MAY 13 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1530 MDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE FIRE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. THIS RIDGE WILL RESULT IN WARMING AND DRYING CONDITIONS.
STILL HAVE ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE TO DEVELOP
CUMULUS BOTH DAYS. STRONGER RIDGE TOP WINDS WILL ALSO MIX TO THE
SURFACE THIS AFTERNOON...AND BE LESS ON FRIDAY. TONIGHT WITH THE
BUILDING RIDGE AND CLEARING...THERMAL BELTS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP THAT MAY IMPACT THE TOP OF THE FIRE WITH ONLY MODERATE
RECOVERIES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 3-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31...35-40 TOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT BOTTOM...67-72 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 5-7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE 2-4 MPH AFTER SUNSET.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...RON SWANEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100513.KELLY.01/MSO