FNAK79 PAFG 142148
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHENA LAKES RX...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
148 PM AKDT FRI MAY 14 2010

UPDATED FOR WINDS THAT HAVE INCREASED STRONGER THAN EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON


FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 AKDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR WILL MOVE NORTH OVER THE BROOKS
RANGE TONIGHT. THIS IS CAUSING THE LOW LEVEL AIR MASS TO BE DRY BUT UNSTABLE
WITH DUST DEVILS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON NEAR THE FIRE.

A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH TO THE ALASKA RANGE THIS EVENING
AND OVER THE FIRE AREA SATURDAY. FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME MORE EASTERLY ACROSS
ALASKA NEXT WEEK BRINGING WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS TO INTERIOR ALASKA.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 13 MPH GUSTING TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10,000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 13 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 13 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85 PERCENT). ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60..
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...KAREN SCHOLL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100514.CHENA.02/AFG