FNUS74 KEPZ 141522
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WALKER RX...LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
922 AM MDT FRI MAY 14 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0855 MDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.


...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS LIKELY IN VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS...VIRGA SHAFTS
AND SIGNIFICANT CLOUD BUILD-UPS...

.DISCUSSION...
DRYLINE HAS MADE IT FAR WEST OF THE BURN SITE...TO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY
THIS MORNING. EXPECT DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW TO PUSH THIS BOUNDARY EAST TO NEAR
LOCATION OF BURN THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS MIN RH SHOULD FALL AGAIN TODAY...HOWEVER
SHOULD END UP 20-30 PERCENT HIGHER THAN THURSDAYS VALUES.  DRYLINE WILL MOVE BACK
WESTWARD AGAIN OVERNIGHT...AND SHOULD END UP ROUGHLY WHERE IT WAS FRIDAY MORNING.
MEANWHILE MIX-DOWN OF STRENGTHENING WINDS ALOFT AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH...WILL MEAN HIGHER 20-FT WINDS TODAY COMPARED TO THURSDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH MID MORNING...INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 27 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 18 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 8
                    TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...NM ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100514.WALKE.01/EPZ