FNUS74 KLIX 141450 AAA
FWSLIX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
950 AM CDT FRI MAY 14 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.SYNOPSIS...LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC WHILE A WEAK BOUNDARY IS DRAPED FROM NORTHEASTERN
TX THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND INTO THE NEW ENGLAND STATES.
THIS IS KEEPING PERSISTENT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IN PLACE ACROSS THE
NORTH CENTRAL GULF. PRESSURE OVER THE SPILL 1022MB.

.WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY...
NONE OVER SPOT AREA.

.WIND PROFILE...
13Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION
  SFC...  E 14KT
250FT...  E 16KT
500FT...  E 17KT
 1KFT...ESE 20KT
 2KFT... SE 22KT
 3KFT... SE 23KT
 4KFT... SE 23KT
 5KFT... SE 22KT
MAX WIND...217/41KT 40.0KFT.
DRY LAPSE TO 3000FT...WARM LAPSE TO 6800FT...DRY LAPSE ABOVE.
DRY ENTIRE COLUMN. P.W. 1.38 IN.

.NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS...
...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS
...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS
...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS
...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W
...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W
...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W
...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W
...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W

METAR KBVE 141351Z AUTO 12009KT 8SM CLR 27/22 A3020 RMK AO2 SLP226
     T02670222 TSNO
METAR KGAO 141342Z AUTO 09008G15KT 10SM SCT001 SCT017 27/22 A3019 RMK
     AO2
METAR KHSA 141250Z 00000KT 7SM SCT016 23/22 A3019
METAR KIPN 141330Z AUTO 11020KT 10SM CLR 26/23 A3017 RMK A01
METAR KMYT 141335Z AUTO 09014KT 1SM BR CLR 26/23 A3017 RMK A01
METAR KSPR 141340Z AUTO VRB06G11KT 5SM HZ 27/24 A3014 RMK A01
METAR KMDJ 141335Z AUTO 11008KT 7SM CLR 26/24 A3019 RMK A01
METAR KDLP 141330Z AUTO 11012KT 4SM BR CLR 25/23 A3018 RMK A01

.AREAL AVIATION...
COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR-MVFR SCT/BKN 015-030 SCT/BKN
040                   ...VISBIES P6SM...NO SIG WX.
MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...
                  ...VFR FEW/SCT010-025 SCT040 BKN250
                  ...LCL VISBIES 2SM HZ...NO SIG WX.

KHUM 141139Z 1413/1512 09007KT 6SM BR SCT015 SCT025
      TEMPO 1413/1415 BKN025
     FM141500 12010KT P6SM SCT015 BKN025
     FM141700 13012KT P6SM SCT025 BKN035
     FM150100 12007KT P6SM SCT250=

KHSA 141139Z 1413/1512 10010KT P6SM SCT020 SCT030 BKN250
     FM141700 13010KT P6SM SCT030 BKN250
     FM150100 12006KT P6SM SCT250=

.RADAR...
NO ECHOES DETECTED NEAR COAST OR OVER NRN GLFMEX...NO LIGHTNING
DETECTED GLFMEX.

.TIDAL INFORMATION...
PSTL1 2.03 FT (+0.39 FT OFF ASTRONOMICAL TRACE; STEADY)
WYCM6 2.27 FT (+0.52 FT OFF ASTRONOMICAL TRACE; RISING)

RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...SAT MAY 15 2010
LO    1 36 AM    STAGE   -0.3    HI    3 17 PM    STAGE    1.9
RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...SUN MAY 16 2010
LO    2 28 AM    STAGE   -0.3    HI    4 00 PM    STAGE    2.0
RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...MON MAY 17 2010
LO    3 23 AM    STAGE   -0.3    HI    4 46 PM    STAGE    1.9

BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 78F


$$
FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS
REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20100514.DEEPW.05/LIX