FNUS76 KMFR 151218
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR PENNY STEW
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
518 AM PDT SAT MAY 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1645 PDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE PATTERN THROUGH SUNDAY. A
MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL FUEL A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND AN INCREASED CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AT THE BURN SITE. SURFACE WINDS
WILL BE WELL-DEFINED FROM THE NORTHWEST SATURDAY AND BECOME WEAKER ON
SUNDAY. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CLOUDS IS EXPECTED SUNDAY WITH
LOWER TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....NORTHWEST WIND 4 TO 6 MPH GUSTING TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
LAL.................2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WIND.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO BELOW 1000 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
LAL.................2.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....WEST WIND 1 TO 3 MPH GUSTING TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FEET AGL DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................15 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
LAL.................2.

$$
FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT RATHJEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100514.PENNY.01/MFR