FNAK79 PAFG 151939
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHENA LAKES RX...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1139 AM AKDT SAT MAY 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 AKDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A THERMAL TROUGH WILL BE FORMING JUST NORTH OF THE
ALASKA RANGE TODAY. THIS WILL BE A FOCUS OF SHOWER ACTIVITY. WINDS
MAY BE GUSTY NEAR SHOWERS...OTHERWISE...EXPECT WINDS TO BLOW INTO
THE TROUGH AXIS THAT WILL BE LOCATED NORTH OF THE BURN AREA ALONG
THE HILLS NORTH OF FAIRBANKS.

THE TROUGH WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT NORTH ON SUNDAY. HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN
TO REBUILD NEXT WEEK...BRINGING IN A WARMER AND DRYER AIRMASS.

.REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 9 MPH. WINDS MAY BE GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC NEAR SHOWERS.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT
WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...FRIAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100515.CHENA.02/AFG