FNUS73 KAPX 151014 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR CURTIS PINE FUELS...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 614 AM EDT SAT MAY 15 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MAY 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL INVADE ON THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY BEFORE SETTLING IN OVERHEAD FOR TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE SCATTERED CUMULUS CLOUDS AROUND...ALONG WITH A WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND THROUGH IGNITION TIME. THE PRESCRIBED BURN SITE IS A BIT INLAND...BUT FEEL THAT WINDS WILL STILL BE ABLE TO TURN AROUND MORE TO THE NORTH AND POSSIBLY NORTHEAST LATER THIS AFTER...DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF ONSHORE LAKE BREEZES. WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 10 MPH BUT THERE COULD BE A FEW HIGHER GUSTS THROUGH MIDDAY. CALM WINDS TONIGHT WITH GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERY...BEFORE AN EASTERLY WIND HELPS BRING A COOLER ONSHORE WIND ACROSS THE BURN SITE TOMORROW. SPEEDS OUGHT TO BE BELOW 10 MPH AGAIN WITH A GOOD DEAL OF SUN...WARMER TEMPERATURES...AND LOWER HUMIDITIES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 63. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (600) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (800). TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........55 55 44 44 44 34 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............57 58 60 60 61 60 RH..............53 49 44 44 42 44 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N N 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4 SMOKE DISP......600 700 800 800 700 600 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....37. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........34 34 17 17 17 17 17 17 15 15 15 15 WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG TEMP............59 58 56 53 50 47 45 43 41 40 39 38 RH..............45 47 49 54 63 71 76 82 89 92 96 96 20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE E E SE S W NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 5 5 5 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........15 7 7 7 10 10 WEATHER COV.....PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............38 41 53 65 66 66 RH..............96 89 57 35 33 32 20 FT WIND......N 1 N 1 NE 3 E 5 E 7 E 8 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 10 15 15 $$ FORECASTER...SCOTT DICKSON REQUESTED BY...BEN EBY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100515.CURTI.01/APX