FNUS75 KGJT 150629
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK RIDGE RX...SOUTHERN UTE BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1229 AM MDT SAT MAY 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL START TO EXIT THE REGION THROUGH THE DAY
SATURDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON AS SKIES CLEAR
AND MIXING INCREASES. STILL A SLIGHT POSSIBILITY OF A LINGERING
SHOWER MAINLY OVER THE HIGHEST PEAKS OF THE LA PLATA MOUNTAINS
SO WILL LEAVE OUT OF THE SITE FORECAST. FLOW ALOFT BECOMES
NORTHWEST SATURDAY EVENING AS A RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE REGION.
EXPECT SKIES TO REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR SUNDAY HELPING TEMPERATURES
INCREASE. WINDS WILL AGAIN INCREASE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GOOD
MIXING.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28%.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH BECOMING
                    WEST 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100 THEN INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5-7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO TERRAIN DRIVEN
                    4 TO 6 MPH AFTER 2100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1800 THEN DECREASING TO POOR
                     IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 9 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100 THEN INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...AS
REQUESTED BY...RICH GUSTAFSON  FMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100515.BLACK.01/GJT