FNUS74 KLIX 151525 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1025 AM CDT SAT MAY 15 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS...A WEAK BOUNDARY IS DRAPED ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS AND NE TOWARDS MEMPHIS. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WERE NOTED OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN LA. MOST OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT WERE OVER THE TEXAS AND LOUISIANA COASTAL WATERS HAVE MOVED INLAND. A 6MB GRADIENT WAS ACROSS THE GLFMEX WITH 1021MB ALONG THE W FL COAST...1015MB PRESSURE ALONG THE LOWER TX COAST. PRESSURE AT THE SPILL SITE IS 1019MB AND STEADY. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENERAL NON-SVR TSTMS EXPECTED TODAY. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENERAL NON-SVR TSTMS EXPECTED SUNDAY. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS... SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR MAINLY FOR THE BRETON AND CHANDELEUR SOUNDS AND LAKE BORGNE .WIND PROFILE... 13Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... E 12KT 250FT... E 15KT 500FT... E 17KT 1KFT... SE 20KT 2KFT... SE 23KT 3KFT... SE 24KT 4KFT... SE 24KT 5KFT...SSE 23KT MAX WIND...267/44KT 46.0KFT. MOIST ADIABATIC LAPSE RATE PRETTY MUCH ALL THE WAY UP. COLUMN IS DRY UP TO 19K FT...P.W. 1.35 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 151451Z AUTO 17008KT 10SM FEW050 24/20 A3011 RMK AO2 RAE23 SLP196 P0003 60007 T02440200 50001 TSNO METAR KGAO 151502Z AUTO 09009KT 10SM VCTS CLR 26/22 A3010 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT W THRU NE METAR KHSA 151455Z 13010KT 10SM SCT022 BKN028 27/22 A3012 METAR KIPN 151455Z AUTO 12020KT 10SM CLR 25/22 A3011 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 151455Z AUTO 14013KT 4SM BR CLR 26/24 A3008 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 151240Z AUTO 13009G16KT 090V160 5SM HZ 27/24 A3006 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 151240Z AUTO 15021G28KT 9SM BKN100 24/22 A3009 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 151450Z AUTO 15011G17KT 9SM CLR 26/23 A3008 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...FEW/SCT 015 SCT 030/050 BKN/OVC 250 ...VISBIES P6SM...SCT SHRA/TSRA ALONG LA COAST. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...FEW020/040 SCT/BKN100 BKN/OVC250 ...LCL VISBIES 5SM HZ...ISLTD/SCT SHRA/TSRA. KHSA 151140Z 1512/1612 13012KT P6SM SCT022 SCT028 FM151700 13009KT P6SM BKN035 TEMPO 1521/1601 3SM TSRA BKN030CB FM160100 12003KT P6SM SCT030 BKN040 PROB30 1601/1605 4SM -TSRA BKN030CB= KHUM 151140Z 1512/1612 13010KT P6SM VCTS SCT015CB BKN035 TEMPO 1514/1517 4SM -TSRA BKN030CB FM152000 14010KT P6SM BKN035 TEMPO 1520/1524 3SM TSRA BKN025CB FM160000 12006KT P6SM BKN040= .RADAR... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND ARE CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS TERREBONNE AND TIMABLIER BAYS AND OVER THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA. THIS ACTIVITY IS PRODUCING BRIEF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL AND WIND GUSTS NEAR 25 KNOTS. ALL THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN PRODUCING FREQUENT TO CONTINUOUS LIGHTNING AND COULD BRING ABOUT WIND GUSTS OVER 35 KTS ALONG WITH GENERATING LOCALLY VERY ROUGH SEAS AND EVEN A FEW WATER SPOUTS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.19 FT (+0.49 FT OFF ASTRONOMICAL TRACE; FALLING) WYCM6 2.56 FT (+0.60 FT OFF ASTRONOMICAL TRACE; RISING) RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...SUN MAY 16 2010 LO 2 28 AM STAGE -0.3 HI 4 00 PM STAGE 2.0 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...MON MAY 17 2010 LO 3 23 AM STAGE -0.3 HI 4 46 PM STAGE 1.9 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...TUE MAY 18 2010 LO 4 17 AM STAGE -0.3 HI 5 33 PM STAGE 1.8 BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 79F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........66 66 72 72 72 72 72 72 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............78 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 RH..............82 82 80 80 80 80 80 85 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 1.3 1.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 18 15 15 15 10 10 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 8 8 7 7 7 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY BUT ROUGH/VERY ROUGH NEAR TSM HRLY RAIN (IN). .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .12 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........72 79 79 79 75 75 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 77 77 76 76 76 RH..............85 87 88 87 87 88 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 8 SE 8 SE 10 SE 9 SE 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 2000 1900 1900 1600 1600 MIX HGT (M).....400 610 580 580 490 490 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10 SE 10 SE 12 SE 12 SE 13 SE 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 10 SE 10 SE 12 SE 12 SE 13 SE 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............5 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY................................... HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........75 79 79 79 88 88 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............75 76 78 79 80 80 RH..............90 87 80 78 76 78 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 10 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 1600 2200 2200 2500 2300 MIX HGT (M).....490 490 670 670 760 700 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14 SE 13 SE 15 SE 15 S 17 S 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 14 SE 13 SE 15 SE 15 S 17 S 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............4 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY................................... HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100515.DEEPW.06/LIX