FNUS75 KMSO 151604
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1004 AM MDT SAT MAY 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A QUICK MOVING DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE BURN SITE
THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL RESULT IN A BETTER CHANCE FOR ISOLATED
CONVECTIVE SHOWER ACTIVITY. WHILE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY
LIGHT ALOFT...LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR IN AREAS WHERE
THE BEST SHOWER ACTIVITY TAKES PLACE. DUE TO THE EXPOSED WEST FACE
OF THE BURN...WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT MAY HAVE MORE INTERACTION WITH
THE SITE IN THE AFTERNOON UNDER AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE. EXPECT MAINLY DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS AFTER SUNSET.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATER IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
                                        TEMPERATURE.........LOWER MAX...70-73. UPPER MAX...67-70.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........LOWER MIN...19-21 PERCENT. UPPER MIN...20-24
                    PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST AT 2-4 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING
                    WEST 5-7 MPH WITH INTERMITTENT GUSTS TO 12-15
                    MPH POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
                                        TEMPERATURE.........LOWER MIN...34-38. UPPER MIN...37-42.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........LOWER MAX...75-79 PERCENT. UPPER MAX...68-72
                    PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5-9
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEGRETTO
REQUESTED BY...KELLY MCKEE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100515.UNIT2.01/MSO