FNAK79 PAFG 161642
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR DTAE BAX...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
842 AM AKDT SUN MAY 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1625 AKDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SMALL DISTURBANCE IN THE AREA IS KEEPING SHOWERS AROUND
THIS MORNING...IT WILL LIFT NORTH AND WEST AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.
BRIEF ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS
THE SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH STRENGTHENS NORTH OF FAIRBANKS.

OVERALL FLOW WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE...SO EXPECT SURFACE WINDS TO
BE DRIVEN BY DRAINAGE FLOW AND SHOWER ACTIVITY. WINDS COULD BE GUSTY
AND ERRATIC AT TIMES WITH AFTERNOON SHOWERS.

HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN TO BUILD ON MONDAY AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH
THE WEEK. EXPECT A WARM AND DRY WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING SOUTH WINDS 5
                    TO 15 MPH. WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR
                    SHOWERS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 43. HIGH 67. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOW 45. HIGH 68.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 47. HIGH 70. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...TOM ST  CLAIR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100516.DTAEB.02/AFG