FNUS74 KLIX 162022 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR PORT FOURCHON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 322 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS.... A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE LA COAST IS LIKELY TO BECOME ACTIVATED WITH TSTMS THIS MORNING AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES E FROM SW LA THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. A 5MB GRADIENT WAS ACROSS THE GLFMEX WITH 1018MB ALONG THE W FL COAST...1013MB ON THE LOWER TX COAST. PRESSURE OVER PORT FOURCHON IS 1016MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENERAL NON-SVR TSTMS EXPECTED TODAY. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENERAL NON-SVR TSTMS EXPECTED MONDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND BECOME QUITE NUMEROUS AND STRONG THIS MORNING... THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF THE DAY. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF FREQUENT TO CONTINUOUS LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS AROUND 35 KNOTS...LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS DURING STRONGER STORMS AND EVEN A FEW WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY UNDER RAPIDLY DEVELOPING STORMS. MARINERS OPERATING IN THE COASTAL WATERS SHOULD BE MINDFUL OF INCLEMENT WEATHER MOVING INTO OR DEVELOPING RAPIDLY OVER THE AREA TODAY. STAY TUNED FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE MARINE WEATHER WARNINGS TODAY. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...K9F2 - FOURCHON LA ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHUM - HOUMA LA AWOS ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 161950Z AUTO 09005KT 3SM RA BR FEW008 BKN024 BKN043 21/20 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP165 P0019 T02110200 TSNO METAR KGAO 162002Z AUTO 08005KT 10SM VCTS SCT004 SCT007 SCT060 22/22 A2999 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E THRU S METAR KHUM 161950Z 11003KT 7SM BKN060 BKN080 26/25 A2999 METAR KMDJ 151240Z AUTO 15021G28KT 9SM BKN100 24/22 A3009 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 161955Z AUTO 05015KT 4SM BR FEW055 FEW065 22/21 A2998 RMK A0 .RADAR... A VERY LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOW MOSTLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OFF THE SOUTHEAST LA COAST AND MISSISSIPPI COAST. FREQUENT LIGHTNING...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO GALE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY. IN ADDITION THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF GETTING QUICK WEAK TORNADOES/WATERSPOUTS TO SPIN UP. CLOSER TOWARDS PORT FOUCHON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE NOTED OVER TIMBALIER...TERREBONNE... AND BARATARIA BAYS. STRONGER ACTIVITY IS DEVELOPING WELL SOUTH OF PORT FOURCHON. THIS ACTIVITY COULD QUICKLY BECOME STRONG/SEVERE PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS AND EVEN WATERSPOUTS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.46 FT AND FALLING...LOW TIDE IS 0.10 AT 10PM CDT. GISL1 1.39 FT AND FALLING...LOW TIDE IS 0.17 AT 11 PM CDT. .REST OF TODAY... TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........79 79 79 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TEMP............80 80 79 RH..............75 78 78 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..12 11 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 50 SEAS............2 2 2 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY BUT ROUGH NEAR TSM... HRLY RAIN (IN). .35 .11 .11 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........79 38 30 30 24 25 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............79 77 76 75 74 73 RH..............78 95 97 95 96 99 20 FT WIND......SW 9 SW 7 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 10 10 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 20 20 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY.LT CHOP.......................... HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.05 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........25 43 43 43 43 40 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............73 76 79 80 81 81 RH..............99 91 79 70 66 67 20 FT WIND......W 5 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............1 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......LT CHOP.................................. HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.0 0.0 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100516.PORTF.12/LIX