FNUS76 KMFR 161338
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORTAR COYOTE RX SOUTH...USFS BLY RANGER DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
638 AM PDT SUN MAY 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES NORTH
ACROSS THE REGION. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE COAST MONDAY
WITH A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SITE MONDAY EVENING. THE
CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL BE HIGHEST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
COOL AND MOIST WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-35 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WIND 1 TO 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 23 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-88 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE WIND 0 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-48 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WIND 0 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...SHERRY JACOBS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100516.MORTA.01/MFR