FNUS76 KMFR 161353
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH MORTAR COYOTE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
653 AM PDT SUN MAY 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES NORTH
ACROSS THE REGION. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE COAST MONDAY
WITH A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SITE MONDAY EVENING. THE
CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL BE HIGHEST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
COOL AND MOIST WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WIND 0 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 22 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WIND 0 TO 2 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 6000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 24 MPH.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...HESCOCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100516.NORTH.01/MFR