FNUS76 KOTX 162044
FWSOTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR QUARTZIET 73...COLVILLE USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
144 PM PDT SUN MAY 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1345 MDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...THE SPOKANE RADAR IS PICKING UP ON SOME WEAK SHOWERS WELL TO THE
NORTH OF THE BURN AND MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE COLUMBIA BASIN AT TIME
OF ISSUANCE..

THE PATTERN CHANGE IS UNDER WAY TODAY AND THROUGH NEXT WEEK. A
DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE COAST WILL ALLOW AMPLE MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY TO MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTH. THIS IS A
GOOD PATTERN FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND THEY CAN BE
EXPECTED JUST ABOUT EVERYDAY THIS NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN
A SLOW COOLING TREND AFTER TODAY AND WILL COOL DRAMATICALLY WEDNESDAY
BEHIND A PASSING COLD FRONT. A STRONGER AND COOLER WEATHER SYSTEM IS
POISED TO MOVE INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........HIGH CLOUDS WILL BREAK UP OVER THE NEXT HOUR...
                    THEN EXPECT CONVECTIVE CLOUDS TO FIRE OFF. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UP-SLOPE 4 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS CAN
                    BE EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING DRAINAGE 2 TO 5 MPH AFTER 2100. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................45 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH AFTER
                    1000. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6000 FT AFTER 1100.
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BT
REQUESTED BY...MATT DAUENHAUER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100516.QUART.02/OTX