FNUS75 KBOI 171937
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CR RX...BOISE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
137 PM MDT MON MAY 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 MDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH OVERNIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
ABUNDANT MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE BURN AREA THROUGH TUESDAY ALL
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL LOW. EVEN THOUGH THE TRACK OF THIS
LOW IS EXPECTED TO TAKE IT INTO NORTHERN NEVADA...THAT PUTS THE WEST CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS IN A GOOD POSITION FOR GOOD UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS TO BRING PRECIPITATION
TO THE SITE THROUGH EARLY EVENING TUESDAY.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60 AT 7000 FEET TO LOWER 70S AT THE LOWER ELEVATION.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 TO 25 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1350 EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37 TO 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 TO 92 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...25 POOR.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 TO 65 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....WEST TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...250 FAIR.

$$
FORECASTER...REDMAN
REQUESTED BY...REX MILLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100517.BEARC.02/BOI