FNUS71 KBOX 170802 AAA FWSBOX SPOT FORECAST FOR MSSF UNIT 1...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 402 AM EDT MON MAY 17 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THIS IS THE 4AM UPDATE OF LAST NIGHT NIGHTS INITIAL 1127 PM ISSUANCE. CONFIDENCE IN THIS FORECAST IS BELOW AVERAGE DUE TO THE VERY TIGHT GRADIENT THAT WILL DEVELOP ONCE ONSHORE WINDS BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING. THE HIGH TEMPERATURE MAY OCCUR AT 10 OR 11 AM AND BE AS MUCH AS 72 DEGREES WITH HUMIDITY NOTABLY LOWER THAN PREDICTED WITH TEMPERATURES SLOWLY DECREASING THEREAFTER AS HUMIDITY CREEPS UP. I CAN ALSO SEE THE WINDS SHIFTING TO E OR SE TWO HOURS FASTER THAN CURRENTLY PREDICTED. THIS REQUEST REGION IS WITHIN THE TEMPERATURE/HUMIDITY CHANGE GRADIENT THAT COULD BENEFIT FROM LOCAL REREVIEW LATER THIS MORNING VERY DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVER OVER NEW ENGLAND THIS MORNING MOVES OFF THE COAST TONIGHT. SLOWLY INTENSIFYING LOW PRES MOVES NORTHEAST FROM THE MID ATLC COAST ON TUESDAY. MINIMUM RH THIS AFTERNOON 15 TO 20 PERCENT EXCEPT 25 TO 35 CAPE AND ISLANDS WITH SPOTTY WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 15 MPH MOST AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RH TUESDAY 30 TO 40 PERCENT EXCEPT 50 TO 60 PERCENT COAST. -OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE PAST CAPE COD WED AND REACH THE MARITIMES THU. HIGH PRES ARRIVES FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............4 2 8 13 19 19 19 18 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................62 64 64 64 65 68 69 67 MIN HUMIDITY........38 31 31 30 29 28 28 33 20 FT WIND DIR......N N NE NE NE E SE S 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 5 6 7 7 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............18 19 35 45 50 57 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................65 58 51 46 45 45 MIN HUMIDITY........37 51 66 79 82 82 WIND (20 FT)........S 6 S 5 S 3 S 2 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 5 5 5 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............67 82 80 80 82 92 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................45 51 56 60 62 62 MIN HUMIDITY........86 74 59 49 48 50 WIND (20 FT)........S 2 SE 4 SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 15 15 15 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...DRAG REQUESTED BY...MARK K TEIXEIRA TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100517.MSSFU.01/BOX