FNUS73 KGRR 171351
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR BLAZING STAR...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
951 AM EDT MON MAY 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WILL CONSOLIDATE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY
TODAY WITH RAIN SHOWERS ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE LOW. RAIN SHOWERS
WILL SPREAD INTO FAR SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON AND
SPREAD NORTH TONIGHT. THE SHOWERS WILL TRY TO SPREAD TOWARD
CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN BUT DRY AIR MAY KEEP MOST OF IT SOUTH OF A
MUSKEGON TO ALMA LINE.

SKIES WILL VARY BETWEEN PARTLY SUNNY AND MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY AS
CLOUDS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY SYSTEM WORK THROUGH THE REGION.

LIGHT SHOWERS COULD LINGER INTO TUESDAY FOR AREAS SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 96. THEN DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. DAYTIME TEMPERATES WILL MAINLY BE IN THE 60S TODAY AND
TUESDAY...AND THEN IT WILL WARM INTO THE 70S ON WEDNESDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
                    TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 13 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 24 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6200-6700 FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-400 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 1300-1600
                    (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 15 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 12
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....600-1000 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO
                    0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 14 TO 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200-7700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN
                    THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-300 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 700-1000
                    (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT) FROM LATE MORNING
                    THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    1300-1600 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT) DECREASING
                    TO 1000 (EXCELLENT) IN THE EVENING.

$$
FORECASTER...DUKE
REQUESTED BY...STEVE HATTING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100517.BLAZI.01/GRR