FNUS73 KGRR 171157
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR BUDWORM  40...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
757 AM EDT MON MAY 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...RAIN SHOWERS WILL STAY SOUTH OF THE BUDWORM SPOT SITE
TODAY AND TONIGHT... BUT CLOUD COVER WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
IMPACT THE SITE. THE CLOUD THICKNESS/OPAQUENESS AT THE TIME OF THE
BURN WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON TEMPERATURES... AND IF MORE SUNSHINE
THAN INDICATED OCCURS THEN THE TEMP MAY BE A FEW DEGREES HIGHER AND
RH A LITTLE LOWER THAN FORECAST.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
                    TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 12 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6300-6800 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-300 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 1300-1500
                    (EXCELLENT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 8
                    TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....600-1000 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO
                    0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 9 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-200 (POOR TO FAIR) INCREASING TO 1100-1500
                    (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).

$$
FORECASTER...MEADE
REQUESTED BY...STEVE HATTING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100517.BUDWO.01/GRR