FNUS74 KLIX 171410 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 910 AM CDT MON MAY 17 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... 1012MB LOW LOCATED OVER EXTREME EASTERN KY WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTNDG INTO NORTHERN LA AND CENTRAL TX. RELATIVELY FLAT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. 1018MB SFC HIGH CENTERED OVER THE CNTRL GULF AND A WEAK PRESSURE TROUGH STRETCHING DOWN FROM THE SFC LOW IN KY THROUGH THE FL PANHANDLE AND INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF. SFC PRESSURE AT SPOT LOCATION...1016MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENERAL NON-SVR TSTMS POSSIBLE TODAY. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...NO TSTMS FORECAST. .WIND PROFILE... 17Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...VRB 1KT 250FT... W 3KT 500FT... W 6KT 1KFT... W 7KT 2KFT... W 8KT 3KFT... W 9KT 4KFT... W 9KT 5KFT... W 6KT MAX WIND...259/49KT 46.0KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1800FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5100FT...DRY LAPSE ABV 5800FT. MOIST TO 925MB/2400FT...ENTIRE COLUMN IS MOIST...P.W. 1.36 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 171351Z AUTO 33006KT 10SM FEW007 25/22 A3003 RMK AO2 SLP170T02500222 TSNO METAR KGAO 171342Z AUTO 33003KT 10SM CLR 24/23 A3004 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 171251Z 32003KT 7SM SCT010 SCT014 19/19 A3003 METAR KIPN 171335Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM SCT009 27/24 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 171335Z AUTO 31008KT 7SM FEW015 27/23 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KSPR MISG METAR KMDJ MISG METAR KDLP 171330Z AUTO 00000KT M1/4SM FG OVC002 24/23 A3002 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT035-040. SCT TSTMS MID TO LATE MORNING. CIGS AND VSBYS LOWER INVOF CONVECTION. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT028-032...LCL CIGS BKN030. ISOLD TO SCT TSTMS LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON. CIGS AND VSBYS LOWER INVOF CONVECTION. KHUM 171140Z 1712/1812 24005KT P6SM SCT020 SCT250 FM171800 23005KT P6SM BKN035 TEMPO 1719/1722 4SM -TSRA BKN025CB FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250 FM180800 00000KT 4SM BR BKN250= KHSA 171140Z 1712/1812 28006KT P6SM FEW010 SCT015 SCT250 FM171800 19006KT P6SM VCTS BKN050CB FM172100 25006KT P6SM SCT050 BKN250 FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...VFR SCT100. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT200. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES WERE DETECTED NEAR THE SPOT LOCATION. COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA NEAR THE LA/MS BORDER HAS NOW ALL BUT DISSIPATED. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE REDEVLOPEMTN ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LATER TODAY. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.16 FT AT 0842 CDT (.61 HIGHER THAN PREDICTED LEVEL). FORECAST HIGH TIDE IS 2.25 FT AT 10 AM CDT. WYCM6 1.82 FT AT 0844 CDT (.47 HIGHER THAN PREDICTED LEVEL). FORECAST HIGH TIDE IS 3.00 FT AT 2 PM CDT. RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...TUE MAY 11TH HI 1 06 PM STAGE 1.5 LO 11 23 PM STAGE 0.1 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...WED MAY 12TH HI 1 29 PM STAGE 1.6 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...THU MAY 13TH LO 12 03 AM STAGE -0.1 HI 2 00 PM STAGE 1.8 BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 77.5F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........49 38 38 38 36 36 36 35 35 WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............77 78 78 79 79 79 79 79 79 RH..............89 86 81 76 72 72 72 72 69 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW W W SW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 5 5 4 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.9 1.9 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 13 10 10 10 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO LIGHT CHOP................ HRLY RAIN (IN). .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .01 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........35 34 30 30 26 30 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............78 76 75 74 73 72 RH..............67 69 74 82 87 90 20 FT WIND......SW 3 S 3 S 2 SW 4 SW 5 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2600 600 600 700 700 MIX HGT (M).....820 790 180 180 210 210 TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 W 10 W 10 W 10 W 10 W 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 10 10 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO LIGHT CHOP..................... HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 35 30 30 26 22 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............72 73 75 76 77 77 RH..............91 87 82 82 79 76 20 FT WIND......W 6 NW 5 NW 4 NW 3 NW 3 NW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....700 700 1600 1600 2600 2800 MIX HGT (M).....210 210 490 490 790 850 TRANSPORT WIND..W 10 W 10 W 9 W 9 W 7 SW 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO LIGHT CHOP..................... HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100517.DEEPW.05/LIX