FNUS74 KLIX 171507 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1007 AM CDT MON MAY 17 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... 1012MB LOW LOCATED OVER THE OH/KY BORDER WITH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTNDG INTO CNTRL AR. RELATIVELY FLAT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. 1017MB SFC HIGH CENTERED OVER THE CNTRL GULF AND A WEAK PRESSURE TROUGH STRETCHING DOWN FROM THE OH/KY SFC LOW THROUGH THE FL PANHANDLE AND INTO THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN GULF. SFC PRESSURE AT SPOT LOCATION...1016MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENERAL NON-SVR TSTMS POSSIBLE TODAY. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...NO TSTMS FORECAST. .WIND PROFILE... 17Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...VRB 2KT 250FT...VRB 1KT 500FT... SW 3KT 1KFT... SW 4KT 2KFT... SW 5KT 3KFT...WSW 8KT 4KFT... W 9KT 5KFT... W 6KT MAX WIND...262/45KT 45.8KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2600FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5700FT...DRY LAPSE ABV 5800FT. MOIST TO 925MB/2400FT...DRY COLUMN AFTER THAT...P.W. 1.35 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 171451Z AUTO 33008KT 10SM SCT012 26/22 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP171 T02560222 52007 TSNO METAR KGAO 171402Z AUTO 31004KT 10SM SCT010 25/23 A3003 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 171351Z 28005KT 10SM SCT010 SCT015 23/22 A3003 METAR KIPN 171355Z AUTO 29006KT 10SM SCT009 27/24 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 171355Z AUTO VRB03G10KT 8SM FEW015 27/23 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 151240Z AUTO 13009G16KT 090V160 5SM HZ 27/24 A3006 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 151240Z AUTO 15021G28KT 9SM BKN100 24/22 A3009 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 171350Z AUTO 30006KT 1/4SM FG BKN002 25/24 A3002 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW/SCT035-040 SCT250. LCL CIGS BKN015 MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR FEW015-030... ISOLD TO SCT TSTMS LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON. CIGS AND VSBYS LOWER INVOF CONVECTION. KHUM 171140Z 1712/1812 24005KT P6SM SCT020 SCT250 FM171800 23005KT P6SM BKN035 TEMPO 1719/1722 4SM -TSRA BKN025CB FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250 FM180800 00000KT 4SM BR BKN250= KHSA 171140Z 1712/1812 28006KT P6SM FEW010 SCT015 SCT250 FM171800 19006KT P6SM VCTS BKN050CB FM172100 25006KT P6SM SCT050 BKN250 FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...VFR SCT100. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT200. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES WERE DETECTED NEAR THE SPOT LOCATION RO WITHIM 200 MILES OF THE SOPT LOCATION. THE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING THAT MOVED INTO SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA NEAR THE LA/MS BORDER AS COMPLETELY DISSIPATED. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY ALONG THAT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND COULD AFFECT THE SPOT LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.26 FT AT 0926 CDT (.62 HIGHER THAN PREDICTED LEVEL). FORECAST HIGH TIDE IS 2.31 FT AT 10 AM CDT. WYCM6 1.95 FT AT 0937 CDT (.40 HIGHER THAN PREDICTED LEVEL). FORECAST HIGH TIDE IS 3.00 FT AT 2 PM CDT. RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...TUE MAY 11TH HI 1 06 PM STAGE 1.5 LO 11 23 PM STAGE 0.1 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...WED MAY 12TH HI 1 29 PM STAGE 1.6 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...THU MAY 13TH LO 12 03 AM STAGE -0.1 HI 2 00 PM STAGE 1.8 BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 77.7F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........49 38 38 38 36 36 36 35 35 WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............77 78 78 79 79 79 79 79 79 RH..............89 86 81 76 72 72 72 72 69 20 FT WIND DIR..WNW WNW WNW NW NW NW W VRB VRB 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 5 5 4 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.9 1.9 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 13 10 10 10 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO LIGHT CHOP................... .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........35 34 30 30 26 30 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............78 76 75 74 73 72 RH..............67 69 74 82 87 90 20 FT WIND......SW 3 S 3 S 2 SW 4 SW 5 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2600 600 600 700 700 MIX HGT (M).....820 790 180 180 210 210 TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 W 10 W 10 W 10 W 10 W 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 10 10 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO LIGHT CHOP...................... .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 35 30 30 26 22 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............72 73 75 76 77 77 RH..............91 87 82 82 79 76 20 FT WIND......W 6 NW 5 NW 4 NW 3 NW 3 NW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....700 700 1600 1600 2600 2800 MIX HGT (M).....210 210 490 490 790 850 TRANSPORT WIND..W 10 W 10 W 9 W 9 W 7 SW 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO LIGHT CHOP...................... $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100517.DEEPW.06/LIX