FNUS74 KLIX 171701 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1201 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... 1012MB LOW LOCATED OVER EXTREME EASTERN KY WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTNDG INTO NORTHERN MS AND SOTUHERN AR. RELATIVELY FLAT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. 1018MB SFC HIGH CENTERED OVER THE NORTHCENTRAL GULF AND A WEAK PRESSURE TROUGH STRETCHING DOWN FROM THE SFC LOW IN KY THROUGH THE FL PANHANDLE AND INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF. SFC PRESSURE AT SPOT LOCATION...1017MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENERAL NON-SVR TSTMS POSSIBLE TODAY. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...NO TSTMS FORECAST. .WIND PROFILE... 17Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...VRB 3KT 250FT...VRB 1KT 500FT... W 3KT 1KFT... W 5KT 2KFT...WSW 8KT 3KFT... W 12KT 4KFT... W 13KT 5KFT... W 12KT MAX WIND...265/40KT 53.1KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3400FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5800FT...DRY LAPSE ABV 5500FT. MOIST TO 900MB/3300FT...DRY COLUMN AFTER THAT...P.W. 1.40 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 171651Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM CLR 27/21 A3003 RMK AO2 SLP169 T02720211 TSNO METAR KGAO 171642Z AUTO 26004KT 10SM BKN030 29/22 A3002 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 171651Z 29003KT 10SM SCT040 29/19 A3001 METAR KIPN 171635Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 30/23 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 171635Z AUTO 33006KT 9SM FEW014 26/23 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KSPR MISG METAR KMDJ MISG METAR KDLP 171635Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 27/22 A3002 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW/SCT 025-040. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR FEW015-030... ISOLD TO SCT TSTMS EARLY AFTERNOON. CIGS AND VSBYS LOWER INVOF CONVECTION. KHUM 171140Z 1712/1812 34007KT P6SM FEW100 FM171800 23005KT P6SM BKN035 TEMPO 1719/1722 4SM -TSRA BKN025CB FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250 FM180800 00000KT 4SM BR BKN250= KHSA 171140Z 1712/1812 36003KT P6SM SCT040 SCT250 FM171800 19006KT P6SM VCTS BKN050CB FM172100 25006KT P6SM SCT050 BKN250 FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...VFR SCT100. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT200. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES WERE DETECTED NEAR THE SPOT LOCATION RO WITHIM 200 MILES OF THE SOPT LOCATION. THE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING THAT MOVED INTO SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA NEAR THE LA/MS BORDER AS COMPLETELY DISSIPATED. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY ALONG THAT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND COULD AFFECT THE SPOT LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.25 FT AT 1141 CDT (.57 HIGHER THAN PREDICTED LEVEL). FORECAST LOW TIDE IS 0.23 FT AT 11PM CDT. WYCM6 2.28 FT AT 1037 CDT (.25 HIGHER THAN PREDICTED LEVEL). FORECAST HIGH TIDE IS 2.85 FT AT 2PM CDT. RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...TUE MAY 11TH HI 1 06 PM STAGE 1.5 LO 11 23 PM STAGE 0.1 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...WED MAY 12TH HI 1 29 PM STAGE 1.6 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...THU MAY 13TH LO 12 03 AM STAGE -0.1 HI 2 00 PM STAGE 1.8 BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 78.4F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........38 36 36 36 35 35 WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............79 79 79 79 79 79 RH..............76 72 72 72 72 69 20 FT WIND DIR..NNW NW VRB VRB SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 3 2 4 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 10 10 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LIGHT CHOP................... .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........35 34 30 30 26 30 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............78 76 75 74 73 72 RH..............67 69 74 82 87 90 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 3 S 2 SW 4 SW 5 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2600 600 600 700 700 MIX HGT (M).....820 790 180 180 210 210 TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 W 10 W 10 W 10 W 10 W 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 10 10 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO LIGHT CHOP................... .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 35 30 30 26 22 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............72 73 75 76 77 77 RH..............91 87 82 82 79 76 20 FT WIND......W 6 NW 5 NW 4 NW 3 NW 3 NW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....700 700 1600 1600 2600 2800 MIX HGT (M).....210 210 490 490 790 850 TRANSPORT WIND..W 10 W 10 W 9 W 9 W 7 SW 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO LIGHT CHOP................... $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100517.DEEPW.08/LIX