FNUS74 KLIX 171809 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 109 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... 1011MB LOW LOCATED OVER THE OH/KY/WV BORDERWITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTNDG INTO NORTHERN MS AND SOTUHERN AR. RELATIVELY FLAT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. 1018MB SFC HIGH CENTERED OVER THE NORTHCENTRAL GULF AND A WEAK PRESSURE TROUGH STRETCHING DOWN FROM THE SFC LOW OVER OH/KY/WV BORDER THROUGH THE FL PANHANDLE AND INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF. SFC PRESSURE AT SPOT LOCATION...1017MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENERAL NON-SVR TSTMS POSSIBLE TODAY. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...NO TSTMS FORECAST. .WIND PROFILE... 18Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... W 7KT 250FT... W 8KT 500FT... W 9KT 1KFT... W 9KT 2KFT...WSW 8KT 3KFT...WNW 10KT 4KFT... NW 12KT 5KFT... NW 12KT MAX WIND...244/43KT 46.0KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3400FT...WARM LAPSE TO 4200FT...DRY LAPSE ABV 4200FT. MOIST TO 950MB/2000FT...DRY COLUMN AFTER THAT...P.W. 1.21 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 171751Z AUTO 35005KT 10SM CLR 28/22 A3003 RMK AO2 SLP167 T02780217 10278 20217 58004 TSNO METAR KGAO 171742Z AUTO 25005KT 10SM SCT035 30/21 A3002 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 171651Z 29003KT 10SM SCT040 29/19 A3001 METAR KIPN 171755Z AUTO 30006KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 171755Z AUTO 32007KT 8SM CLR 26/22 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KSPR MISG METAR KMDJ MISG METAR KDLP 171755Z AUTO 30005KT 10SM CLR 28/22 A3002 RMK A01 KHUM 171740Z 1718/1818 36006KT P6SM SCT100 FM172100 22006KT P6SM SCT040 SCT100 FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250 FM180800 00000KT P6SM BKN250 TEMPO 1811/1813 4SM BR FM181400 23004KT P6SM SCT040= KHSA 171740Z 1718/1818 36003KT P6SM SCT025 FM172100 25006KT P6SM SCT050 SCT250 FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM181000 VRB02KT 5SM BR SCT250 TEMPO 1811/1813 1SM BR FM181400 31005KT P6SM SCT040= .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW025-040 FEW250...NO SIG WXR MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR FEW020-030...NO SIG WXR AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...VFR SCT100. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT200. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES WERE DETECTED NEAR THE SPOT LOCATION RO WITHIM 200 MILES OF THE SOPT LOCATION. THE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING THAT MOVED INTO SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA NEAR THE LA/MS BORDER AS COMPLETELY DISSIPATED. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY ALONG THAT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND COULD AFFECT THE SPOT LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.18 FT AT 1141 CDT (.57 HIGHER THAN PREDICTED LEVEL). FORECAST LOW TIDE IS 0.21 FT AT 11PM CDT. WYCM6 2.42 FT AT 1037 CDT (.24 HIGHER THAN PREDICTED LEVEL). FORECAST HIGH TIDE IS 2.77 FT AT 2PM CDT. RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...TUE MAY 11TH HI 1 06 PM STAGE 1.5 LO 11 23 PM STAGE 0.1 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...WED MAY 12TH HI 1 29 PM STAGE 1.6 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...THU MAY 13TH LO 12 03 AM STAGE -0.1 HI 2 00 PM STAGE 1.8 BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 79.0F .REST OF TODAY... TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........36 36 36 35 35 WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TEMP............79 79 79 79 79 RH..............72 72 72 72 69 20 FT WIND DIR..NNW VRB VRB VRB S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 4 2 2 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH.............. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........35 34 30 30 16 20 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............78 75 74 73 73 73 RH..............67 69 74 82 87 90 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 3 S 2 SW 4 SW 5 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2600 600 600 700 700 MIX HGT (M).....820 790 180 180 210 210 TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 W 10 W 10 W 10 W 10 W 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 10 10 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO A LT CHOP.................... .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........20 35 30 30 26 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............73 75 77 78 79 78 RH..............91 87 82 82 79 76 20 FT WIND......W 6 NW 5 NW 4 NW 3 NW 3 NW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....700 700 1600 1600 2600 2800 MIX HGT (M).....210 210 490 490 790 850 TRANSPORT WIND..W 10 W 10 W 9 W 9 W 7 SW 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO A LT CHOP..................... $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100517.DEEPW.09/LIX