FNUS74 KLIX 171907 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 207 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... 1011MB LOW LOCATED OVER THE OH/KY/WV BORDER WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTNDG INTO NORTHERN MS...NORTHERN LA...AND EASTERN TX. RELATIVELY FLAT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. 1018MB SFC HIGH CENTERED OVER THE NORTHCENTRAL GULF AND A WEAK PRESSURE TROUGH STRETCHING DOWN EAST COAST AND INTO THE FL PENINSULA FROM THE SFC LOW OVER OH/KY/WV BORDER. SFC PRESSURE AT SPOT LOCATION...1018MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENERAL NON-SVR TSTMS POSSIBLE TODAY. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...NO TSTMS FORECAST. .WIND PROFILE... 19Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...VRB 2KT 250FT...VRB 1KT 500FT...VRB 3KT 1KFT... W 5KT 2KFT... W 10KT 3KFT...WNW 13KT 4KFT...WNW 13KT 5KFT...WNW 12KT MAX WIND...268/43KT 53.3KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2500FT...WARM LAPSE TO 4900FT...DRY LAPSE ABV 4900FT. MOIST TO 925MB/2500FT...DRY COLUMN AFTER THAT...P.W. 1.30 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 171851Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM SCT023 27/22 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP163 T02720222 TSNO METAR KGAO 171842Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT042 31/21 A3000 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 171856Z 13004KT 10SM SCT050 SCT090 30/21 A2997 METAR KIPN 171835Z AUTO 30006KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 171835Z AUTO 33006KT 9SM CLR 26/22 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KSPR MISG METAR KMDJ MISG METAR KDLP 171835Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM CLR 28/22 A3001 RMK A01 KHUM 171740Z 1719/1818 34007KT P6SM FEW040 FM172100 22006KT P6SM SCT040 SCT100 FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250 FM180800 00000KT P6SM BKN250 TEMPO 1811/1813 4SM BR FM181400 23004KT P6SM SCT040= KHSA 171740Z 1718/1818 VRB06KT P6SM SCT025 FM172100 25006KT P6SM SCT050 SCT250 FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM181000 VRB02KT 5SM BR SCT250 TEMPO 1811/1813 1SM BR FM181400 31005KT P6SM SCT040= .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW025-040 FEW250...NO SIG WXR MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR FEW020-030...NO SIG WXR KHUM 171740Z 1719/1818 34007KT P6SM FEW040 FM172100 22006KT P6SM SCT040 SCT100 FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250 FM180800 00000KT P6SM BKN250 TEMPO 1811/1813 4SM BR FM181400 23004KT P6SM SCT040= KHSA 171740Z 1718/1818 VRB06KT P6SM SCT025 FM172100 25006KT P6SM SCT050 SCT250 FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM181000 VRB02KT 5SM BR SCT250 TEMPO 1811/1813 1SM BR FM181400 31005KT P6SM SCT040= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...VFR SCT100. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT200. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES WERE DETECTED NEAR THE SPOT LOCATION OR WITHIN 200 MILES OF THE SOPT LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.01 FT AT 142PM CDT (.57 HIGHER THAN PREDICTED LEVEL). FORECAST LOW TIDE IS 0.20 FT AT 11PM CDT. WYCM6 2.52 FT AT 136PM CDT (.12 HIGHER THAN PREDICTED LEVEL). FORECAST HIGH TIDE IS 2.77 FT AND SHOULD OCCUR SHORTLY. RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...TUE MAY 11TH HI 1 06 PM STAGE 1.5 LO 11 23 PM STAGE 0.1 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...WED MAY 12TH HI 1 29 PM STAGE 1.6 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...THU MAY 13TH LO 12 03 AM STAGE -0.1 HI 2 00 PM STAGE 1.8 BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 78.8F .REST OF TODAY... TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........36 36 35 35 WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TEMP............79 79 79 79 RH..............72 72 72 69 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.7 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.N NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 5 5 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 2 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 SEAS............3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO LT CHOP .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........35 34 30 30 16 20 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............78 75 74 73 73 73 RH..............67 69 74 82 87 90 20 FT WIND......E 2 SE 1 SE 2 S 4 SW 5 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2600 600 600 700 700 MIX HGT (M).....820 790 180 180 210 210 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 5 NW 5 W 5 W 5 SW 5 SW 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 10 10 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO LT CHOP....................... .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........20 35 30 30 26 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............73 75 77 78 79 78 RH..............91 87 82 82 79 76 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 6 W 5 NW 5 NW 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....700 1000 1500 1500 1900 1900 MIX HGT (M).....210 300 460 460 580 580 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 W 10 W 9 W 9 NW 6 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO LT CHOP....................... $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100517.DEEPW.10/LIX