FNUS74 KLIX 172043 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 343 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... 1010MB LOW LOCATED OVER EASTERN KY BORDER WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTNDG INTO AR AND NORTHEASTERN TX. RELATIVELY FLAT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. 1017MB SFC HIGH CENTERED OVER THE NORTHCENTRAL GULF AND A WEAK PRESSURE TROUGH STRETCHING DOWN THE EAST COAST AND INTO THE FL PENINSULA FROM THE SFC LOW OVER KY. SFC PRESSURE AT SPOT LOCATION...1015MB .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENERAL NON-SVR TSTMS POSSIBLE TODAY. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...NO TSTMS FORECAST. .WIND PROFILE... 20Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...VRB 1KT 250FT...VRB 1KT 500FT...VRB 3KT 1KFT... W 4KT 2KFT... W 9KT 3KFT... NW 9KT 4KFT... NW 12KT 5KFT...WNW 12KT MAX WIND...268/40KT 54.1KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2500FT...WARM LAPSE TO 4900FT...DRY LAPSE ABV 4900FT. MOIST TO 925MB/2500FT...DRY COLUMN AFTER THAT...P.W. 1.16 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 171951Z AUTO 07004KT 10SM FEW019 27/22 A3000 RMK AO2 SLP157 T02720217 TSNO METAR KGAO 172022Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT040 SCT047 31/21 A2998 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 171951Z 19007KT 10SM SCT026 SCT055 BKN075 28/22 A2996 METAR KIPN 172015Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM FEW014 30/23 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 172015Z AUTO 33008KT 9SM CLR 27/22 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KSPR MISSING METAR KMDJ MISSING METAR KDLP 172015Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 29/22 A2998 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW025-040 FEW250...NO SIG WXR MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR FEW020-030...NO SIG WXR. KHUM 171740Z 1718/1818 14006KT P6SM SCT040 FM172100 22006KT P6SM SCT040 SCT100 FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250 FM180800 00000KT P6SM BKN250 TEMPO 1811/1813 4SM BR FM181400 23004KT P6SM SCT040= KHSA 171740Z 1718/1818 19007KT P6SM SCT025 SCT055 BKN075 FM172100 25006KT P6SM SCT050 SCT250 FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM181000 VRB02KT 5SM BR SCT250 TEMPO 1811/1813 1SM BR FM181400 31005KT P6SM SCT040= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...VFR SCT100. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT200. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES WERE DETECTED NEAR THE SPOT LOCATION OR WITHIN 200 MILES OF THE SPOT LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.63 FT AT 335PM CDT (.62 HIGHER THAN PREDICTED LEVEL). FORECAST LOW TIDE IS 0.20 FT AT 11PM CDT. WYCM6 2.39 FT AT 136PM CDT (.06 HIGHER THAN PREDICTED LEVEL). FORECAST LOW TIDE IS -0.02 FT AT 2AM CDT. RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...TUE MAY 11TH HI 1 06 PM STAGE 1.5 LO 11 23 PM STAGE 0.1 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...WED MAY 12TH HI 1 29 PM STAGE 1.6 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...THU MAY 13TH LO 12 03 AM STAGE -0.1 HI 2 00 PM STAGE 1.8 BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 78.8F .REST OF TODAY... TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........36 35 35 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TEMP............79 79 79 RH..............72 72 69 20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 2 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH.......... .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........35 34 30 30 16 20 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............78 75 74 73 73 73 RH..............67 69 74 82 87 90 20 FT WIND......E 2 SE 1 SE 2 S 4 SW 5 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2600 600 600 700 700 MIX HGT (M).....820 790 180 180 210 210 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 5 NW 5 W 5 W 5 SW 5 SW 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO LT CHOP....................... .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........20 35 30 30 26 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............73 75 77 78 79 78 RH..............91 87 82 82 79 76 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 6 W 5 NW 5 NW 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....700 1000 1500 1500 1900 1900 MIX HGT (M).....210 300 460 460 580 580 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 W 10 W 9 W 9 NW 6 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO LT CHOP....................... $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100517.DEEPW.11/LIX