FNUS74 KLIX 172118 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 418 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... 1010MB LOW LOCATED OVER EASTERN KY BORDER WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTNDG INTO AR AND NORTHEASTERN TX. RELATIVELY FLAT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. 1017MB SFC HIGH CENTERED OVER THE NORTHCENTRAL GULF AND A WEAK PRESSURE TROUGH STRETCHING DOWN THE EAST COAST AND INTO THE FL PENINSULA FROM THE SFC LOW OVER KY. SFC PRESSURE AT SPOT LOCATION...1015MB .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENERAL NON-SVR TSTMS POSSIBLE TODAY. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...NO TSTMS FORECAST. .WIND PROFILE... 21Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...VRB 3KT 250FT...VRB 1KT 500FT...VRB 3KT 1KFT... W 5KT 2KFT... W 9KT 3KFT...WNW 14KT 4KFT...WNW 15KT 5KFT... W 13KT MAX WIND...261/45KT 53.8KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2700FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5200FT...DRY LAPSE ABV 5200FT. MOIST TO 925MB/2600FT...DRY COLUMN AFTER THAT...P.W. 1.33 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 172051Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP150 T02830228 58017 TSNO METAR KGAO 172102Z AUTO 18004KT 10SM OVC036 30/22 A2996 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 172051Z 18008KT 10SM SCT040 SCT100 30/21 A2994 METAR KIPN 172055Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM BKN014 29/23 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 172055Z AUTO 35008KT 8SM CLR 27/23 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 151240Z AUTO 13009G16KT 090V160 5SM HZ 27/24 A3006 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 151240Z AUTO 15021G28KT 9SM BKN100 24/22 A3009 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 172055Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 30/22 A2997 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW025-040 FEW250...NO SIG WXR MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR FEW020-030...NO SIG WXR. KHUM 171740Z 1718/1818 14006KT P6SM SCT040 FM172100 22006KT P6SM SCT040 SCT100 FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250 FM180800 00000KT P6SM BKN250 TEMPO 1811/1813 4SM BR FM181400 23004KT P6SM SCT040= KHSA 171740Z 1718/1818 19007KT P6SM SCT025 SCT055 BKN075 FM172100 25006KT P6SM SCT050 SCT250 FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM181000 VRB02KT 5SM BR SCT250 TEMPO 1811/1813 1SM BR FM181400 31005KT P6SM SCT040= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...VFR SCT100. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT200. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES WERE DETECTED NEAR THE SPOT LOCATION BUT ISOALTED THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. .SYNOPSIS... 1010MB LOW LOCATED OVER EASTERN KY BORDER WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTNDG INTO AR AND NORTHEASTERN TX. RELATIVELY FLAT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. 1017MB SFC HIGH CENTERED OVER THE NORTHCENTRAL GULF AND A WEAK PRESSURE TROUGH STRETCHING DOWN THE EAST COAST AND INTO THE FL PENINSULA FROM THE SFC LOW OVER KY. SFC PRESSURE AT SPOT LOCATION...1015MB .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENERAL NON-SVR TSTMS POSSIBLE TODAY. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...NO TSTMS FORECAST. .WIND PROFILE... 21Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...VRB 3KT 250FT...VRB 1KT 500FT...VRB 3KT 1KFT... W 5KT 2KFT... W 9KT 3KFT...WNW 14KT 4KFT...WNW 15KT 5KFT... W 13KT MAX WIND...261/45KT 53.8KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2700FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5200FT...DRY LAPSE ABV 5200FT. MOIST TO 925MB/2600FT...DRY COLUMN AFTER THAT...P.W. 1.33 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 172051Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP150 T02830228 58017 TSNO METAR KGAO 172102Z AUTO 18004KT 10SM OVC036 30/22 A2996 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 172051Z 18008KT 10SM SCT040 SCT100 30/21 A2994 METAR KIPN 172055Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM BKN014 29/23 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 172055Z AUTO 35008KT 8SM CLR 27/23 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 151240Z AUTO 13009G16KT 090V160 5SM HZ 27/24 A3006 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 151240Z AUTO 15021G28KT 9SM BKN100 24/22 A3009 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 172055Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 30/22 A2997 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR FEW025-040 FEW250...NO SIG WXR MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR FEW020-030...NO SIG WXR. KHUM 171740Z 1718/1818 14006KT P6SM SCT040 FM172100 22006KT P6SM SCT040 SCT100 FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250 FM180800 00000KT P6SM BKN250 TEMPO 1811/1813 4SM BR FM181400 23004KT P6SM SCT040= KHSA 171740Z 1718/1818 19007KT P6SM SCT025 SCT055 BKN075 FM172100 25006KT P6SM SCT050 SCT250 FM180100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM181000 VRB02KT 5SM BR SCT250 TEMPO 1811/1813 1SM BR FM181400 31005KT P6SM SCT040= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...VFR SCT100. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT200. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES WERE DETECTED NEAR THE SPOT LOCATION BUT ISOALTED THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.37 FT AT 357PM CDT (.45 HIGHER THAN PREDICTED LEVEL). FORECAST LOW TIDE IS 0.20 FT AT 11PM CDT. WYCM6 2.31 FT AT 136PM CDT (.05 HIGHER THAN PREDICTED LEVEL). FORECAST LOW TIDE IS -0.02 FT AT 2AM CDT. RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...TUE MAY 11TH HI 1 06 PM STAGE 1.5 LO 11 23 PM STAGE 0.1 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...WED MAY 12TH HI 1 29 PM STAGE 1.6 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...THU MAY 13TH LO 12 03 AM STAGE -0.1 HI 2 00 PM STAGE 1.8 BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 78F .REST OF TODAY... TIME (CDT) 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........35 35 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TEMP............79 79 RH..............72 69 20 FT WIND DIR..E E 20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 TRANS SPD (M/S).2 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 SEAS............2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........35 34 30 30 16 20 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............78 75 74 73 73 73 RH..............67 84 88 93 93 92 20 FT WIND......E 2 SE 1 SE 2 S 4 SW 5 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2600 600 600 700 700 MIX HGT (M).....820 790 180 180 210 210 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 5 NW 5 W 5 W 5 SW 5 SW 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 5 NW 5 W 5 W 5 SW 5 SW 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO LT CHOP....................... .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........20 35 30 30 26 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............73 75 77 78 79 78 RH..............91 86 82 77 74 76 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 6 W 5 NW 5 NW 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....700 1000 1500 1500 1900 1900 MIX HGT (M).....210 300 460 460 580 580 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 W 10 W 9 W 9 NW 6 W 6 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 8 W 10 W 9 W 9 NW 6 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO LT CHOP....................... $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100517.DEEPW.12/LIX