FNUS74 KMAF 170349
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR PECOS RIVER PRESCRIBED FIRE...TFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1049 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EXCELLENT MORNING RECOVERY WILL BE SLOW TO FALL WITH THE RH STILL ABOVE
35 PCT AT NOON. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL HOLD IN THROUGH THE DAY HELPING
TO KEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE. PRIMARY CONCERN FOR TODAY WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR STORMS IN THE AREA. THE BEST CHANCE OF STORMS WILL BE TO
SOUTH OF THE SITE BUT STORMS MAY STILL BE CLOSE TO THE BURN SITE
POTENTIALLY CAUSING ERRATIC WINDS. MOISTURE WILL COME BACK IN MONDAY
NIGHT WITH EXCELLENT RECOVERY BY TUESDAY MORNING. TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL
BE TRENDING WARMER AND DRIER WITH STORMS MOST LIKELY TO REMAIN EAST. WARM
TO HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE THE TREND INTO THE REMAINDER OF THE
WORK WEEK AND NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MORNING CLOUDS. BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY MID MORNING.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE AREA AFTER 2 PM.
                    STORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86-89.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-28 PCT. THESE RH/S MAY BE ONLY FOR A SHORT PERIOD.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD (80000 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      9 AM         1 PM         5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                          30 PCT
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         TSTMS
TEMP............68           84           89
RH..............65           38           26
20 FT WIND DIR..E            SE           SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6            9            11
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....500          4000         6000
TRANS WIND DIR..SE           SE           SE
TRANS WIND SPD..3            9            15
HAINES INDEX....4            3            4

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA EARLY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62-64.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST AND EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR IN THE EVENING.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM         11 PM        3 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....30 PCT
WEATHER TYPE....TSTMS        NONE         NONE
TEMP............86           77           69
RH..............27           45           55
20 FT WIND DIR..SE           SE           E
20 FT WIND SPD..11           11           7
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....5500        1000         1000
TRANS WIND DIR..SE           SE           E
TRANS WIND SPD..15           10           6
HAINES INDEX....4            4            4

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PERIODS OF HIGHS CLOUDS. WARMER AND DRIER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92-95.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-18 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT EAST EARLY. SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH MOST OF
                    THE DAY...BUT SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (135000 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      7 AM         11 AM        3 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............62           79           95
RH..............82           35           15
20 FT WIND DIR..E            S            SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3            14           15
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....1000         2000         9000
TRANS WIND DIR..E            S            SW
TRANS WIND SPD..5            15           15
HAINES INDEX....4            4            4

$$

FORECASTER...MURDOCH
REQUESTED BY...BILL DAVIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100517.PECOS.02/MAF