FNUS76 KMFR 170650
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR 15 MILE...LAKEVIEW BLM DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1150 PM PDT SUN MAY 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN INCOMING MOIST LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING COOLER WEATHER AND
EVENTUALLY RAIN TO THE AREA TODAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MODERATE
AND GUSTY. THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION WILL BE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING LINGERING INTO THE OVERNIGHT.
SNOW LEVELS ARE LIKELY TO DROP TO THE THE BURN SITE. TUESDAY LOOKS
DRY WITH SOME WIND. WEDNESDAY WINDS ARE LIKELY TO PICK UP QUITE A
BIT IN THE AFTERNOON AS AN UNUSUALLY STRONG LATE SEASON WEATHER SYSTEM
PUSHES INLAND FROM THE COAST. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINDY AND COOLER
WEATHER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AND THEN PRECIPITATION
POSSIBILITIES...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION ON FRIDAY.


.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...BECOMING CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHWEST DOWNSLOPE 5-10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH LATE MORNING. WIND BECOMING
                    SOUTH 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 2000-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE MORNING ONWARD.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH EARLY...THEN SOUTH 15-25 MPH.
CWR.................33 PERCENT.


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING CHANGING TO SNOW
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATION
                    A TRACE OR LESS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.


.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A MORNING SHOWER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-54 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 2000 FT AGL
                    LATE MORNING...THEN 4000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY. LOWS 33 TO 38.
HIGHS 55 TO 60. EYE LEVEL WINDS SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...MATT HASKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100517.15MIL.01/MFR