FNUS75 KMSO 171545
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLAZING SADDLES   114
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
945 AM MDT MON MAY 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A VERY COMPLEX AND SIGNIFICANT IMPACT PERIOD IS EXPECTED
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.  FIRST...INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS AND DRY LOW
LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.  HOWEVER...
THIS UNIT APPEARS SHELTERED FROM SOME OF THESE POTENTIAL WINDS. SECOND...
THE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD BECOME QUITE UNSTABLE BY LATE AFTERNOON
WITH A FEW STORMS POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY INTO THE EVENING.  WITH THE LOW
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE VERY DRY...THERE WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT POTENTIAL
FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS. THE THIRD IMPACT IS A COLD FRONT AND
INCREASINGLY MOIST ATMOSPHERE TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORM IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 5-10 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS 20 MPH ON THE RIDGE IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    STRONG GUSTY WINDS NEAR ANY SHOWERS
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    VARIABLE 1-5 MPH.  STRONG GUSTY WINDS NEAR ANY
                    SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH BECOMING WEST 10-14
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BAUCK
REQUESTED BY...MARIA HELTERLINE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100517.BLAZI.01/MSO