FNUS75 KMSO 171625
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR MONTURE 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1025 AM MDT MON MAY 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW INTERACTING WITH AN ALREADY
WARM AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL ALLOW FOR SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS AND
INCREASING MID LEVEL CLOUDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ATMOSPHERIC INSTABILITY
WILL SUPPORT SOME STORM DEVELOPMENT INTO THE EVENING...BUT SHOULD
NOT BE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO THE BURN SITE LOCATION. WITH THE DRY LOWER
LEVELS...SOME GUSTY OUTFLOWS MAY BE POSSIBLE NEAR ANY SHOWER DEVELOPMENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY WITH HIGH CIRRUS THEN INCREASING CUMULUS
                    DEVELOPMENT MIDDAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 4-8 MPH BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 9-11 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-10 MPH EARLY EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNVALLEY 5-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNVALLEY WINDS EARLY 5-8 MPH. BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST
                    LATE AFTERNOON 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BAUCK/NOLTE
REQUESTED BY...CHAD BURNETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100517.MONTU.01/MSO