FNUS75 KMSO 171847
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR SLEEMAN CR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1247 PM MDT MON MAY 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1224 MDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WINDS AT THE FIRE SITE ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP AS
DAYTIME HEATING CONTINUES TO WARM THE SURFACE AND EVENTUALLY MIX OUT
LOCATIONS AROUND THE FIRE. STRONGEST POSSIBLE GUSTS ARE EXPECTED UP
TO 20 MPH. MOSTLY SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE
EARLY EVENING...TURNING MORE DOWNVALLEY AND DRAINAGE AFTER SUNSET.
LATEST RADAR IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION DEVELOPING
TO THE WEST IN IDAHO...INDICATING THAT SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY ALSO
START TO POP ALONG THE BITTERROOT AND SAPPHIRE SPINES. GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS WITH SHOWERS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH INCREASING CUMULUS. CHANCE
                    OF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS UP TO 5 MPH....THEN STRONGER
                    SOUTHEAST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

TIME (MDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
SKY (%).........52  52  52  55  57  57  60  60  60  60  60  60
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO CHC CHC CHC CHC ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............76  78  81  83  83  81  78  75  72  68  63  60
RH..............32  29  25  22  22  25  30  36  38  46  50  56
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SW  SW  SW  SW  N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   8   10  10  8   5   5   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  20  20  20  10  10  10  5   5   5
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING DOWNVALLEY AND VARIABLE
                    2-4 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TUESDAY...

HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6-10 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 15
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...KOLATA/NOLTE
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL GUE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100517.SLEEM.02/MSO