FNAK79 PAFG 181658
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOKLAT...FAIRBANKS AREA FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
858 AM AKDT TUE MAY 18 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0838 AKDT ON MAY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM AKDT
WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...HOT DRY UNSTABLE AND WINDY TODAY. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN
TO PICK UP OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AFTER NOON TODAY. LUCKILY...THE
STRONGEST GUSTS SHOULD NOT OCCUR UNTIL THIS EVENING AFTER MAX
TEMPS AND MIN RHS HAVE OCCURRED. HOWEVER...IT ALSO LOOKS TO BE
FAIRLY UNSTABLE BUT TOO DRY FOR SIGNIFICANT SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS COULD BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC
FOR THIS REASON AS WELL. LITTLE IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY...
RED FLAG WARNING MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (20-40 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH GUSTING TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    NEAR SHOWERS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    IN THE EVENING THEN MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43.
MAX HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH GUSTING TO 28 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FEET AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 46.
HIGH 67. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 42. HIGH 71. NORTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 43. HIGH 72. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT SCHMOLL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100518.TOKLA.01/AFG