FNUS73 KGRR 181204
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR BUDWORM  40...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
804 AM EDT TUE MAY 18 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EDT ON MAY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL STAY SOUTH OF THE BUDWORM SITE
TONIGHT WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR WARM TEMPS AND LOW RH VALUES. A WIND
DIRECTION FROM THE NORTHEAST TO EAST IS FAIRLY HIGH CONFIDENCE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
                    TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 77.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11
                    MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO EAST 20 TO
                    28 MPH...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 9600-10100 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-200 (POOR TO FAIR) INCREASING TO
                    2300-2600 (EXCELLENT) BY AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5
                    MPH...THEN BECOMING CALM OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 1 TO
                    3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 1 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0-400 (POOR TO
                    GOOD).

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 2 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700-8200 FT
                    AGL...THEN DECREASING TO 5500-6000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE DAY.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-400 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 500-800
                    (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MEADE
REQUESTED BY...BOB LITTLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100518.BUDWO.01/GRR