FNUS74 KLIX 190011 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 711 PM CDT TUE MAY 18 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... 1009MB LOW LOCATED OVER WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTENDING INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MS AND SOUTHERN LA. RELATIVELY FLAT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. BROAD 1016MB SFC HIGH CENTERED OVER CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. SFC PRESSURE AT SPOT LOCATION...1014MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENERAL NON-SVR TSTMS POSSIBLE TODAY. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENERAL NON-SVR TSTMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY. .WIND PROFILE... 00Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SW 8KT 1KFT...S 6KT 2KFT...VAR 3KT 3KFT...VAR 2KT 4KFT...SW 5KT 5KFT...WSW 11KT MAX WIND...276/49KT 54.0KFT. DRY LAPSE RATE 1900 FT WITH INVERSION 1900 FT TO 5000 FEET. ROUGHLY MOIST LAPSE RATE ABOVE. DRY THROUGH THE COLUMN...P.W. 1.12 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 182351Z AUTO 25011KT 10SM CLR 27/22 A2992 METAR KGAO 182342Z AUTO 25009G16KT 10SM SCT031 28/21 A2991 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT N AND S METAR KHSA 182350Z 31008KT 10SM -TSRA SCT042 24/19 A2992 METAR KIPN 182355Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM CLR 27/22 A2992 METAR KMYT 182355Z AUTO 33007KT 9SM FEW021 27/23 A2993 METAR KSPR MISG METAR KMDJ MISG .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030 BKN050...SCT TSTMS 24-02Z. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...FEW015-030...ISO TSTMS 29N/90W. TAF KHUM 182330Z 1900/1924 24010KT P6SM VCTS SCT050CB SCT100 TEMPO 1900/1901 VRB15KT 2SM TSRA BKN020CB FM190100 23003KT P6SM SCT250 TEMPO 1909/1913 3SM BR FM191400 14004KT P6SM FEW035 FM191500 16008KT P6SM SCT040 SCT250 PROB30 1918/1924 P6SM TS BKN050CB AMD NOT SKED 1900/1911= TAF KHSA 182330Z 1900/1924 25006KT P6SM VCTS SCT050CB BKN070 FM190100 VRB02KT P6SM SCT250 FM190600 00000KT 5SM BR SCT250 TEMPO 1910/1913 2SM BR FM191400 VRB03KT P6SM SCT035 FM191800 17008KT P6SM SCT040 SCT250 PROB30 1918/1924 P6SM TS BKN050CB AMD NOT SKED 1902/1911= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...VFR SCT100. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT200. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT E WND. .RADAR... AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY LOCATED ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH OF TERREBONNE BAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE EAST AT 20 MPH. ANOTHER AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM NEAR BELLE CHASSE ACROSS LAKE BORGNE AND THEN EASTWARD ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST AND THE IN THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING TO THE EAST AT 20 MPH. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.00 FT AT 1830 CDT...FORECAST LOW TIDE IS 0.19 FT AT MIDNIGHT CDT. WYCM6 1.67 FT AT 1824 CDT...FORECAST LOW TIDE IS -0.21 FT AT 0300 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 80.4F .REST OF TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........32 32 32 32 32 32 30 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............76 76 76 76 76 75 75 75 75 75 75 RH..............93 96 96 92 94 96 94 94 94 94 94 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 14 14 14 14 14 14 10 10 TRANS SPD (M/S).5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........F30.........SCT100......................... SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LIGHT CHOP................................ .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 30 30 30 31 31 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 76 78 79 79 78 RH..............94 90 86 82 79 82 20 FT WIND......W 3 SW 3 SW 5 S 5 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1800 1800 1800 1600 1300 MIX HGT (M).....300 550 550 550 490 400 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 W 7 W 7 W 7 SW 6 SW 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........SCT100................................. SEAS............2 2 2 2 1 1 SEA STATE.......LIGHT CHOP............................. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100518.DEEPW.15/LIX