FNUS73 KMQT 180957 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR BUCKTHORN...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 557 AM EDT TUE MAY 18 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0730 EDT ON MAY 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE BURN SITE THROUGH THIS WEEK. SCATTERED HIGH BASED CUMULUS CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. SINCE THE HIGH IS OVERHEAD... LIGHT WINDS LESS THAN 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS AS IF WINDS AT THE FIRE SITE WILL BE MOSTLY NORTHERLY WITH THE LAKE SUPERIOR LAKE BREEZE STRONGER. SOUTHERLY WINDS OFF LAKE MICHIGAN WILL BE SITUATED JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE THOUGH AND COULD PUSH INTO THE BURN SITE IF THE LAKE SUPERIOR BREEZE LIGHTENS UP SOME. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....45 AT IGNITION...MAX 76. MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 24 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS NORTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 6 TO 11 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5...OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO 4 TO 10 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (35) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (497) BY LATE MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (649) IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3100-5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6000-7300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........28 34 43 49 47 44 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............45 57 70 73 75 74 RH..............73 46 27 24 25 26 GENERAL WIND....N 4 N 4 NW 4 N 6 N 6 N 7 GENERAL GUST....5 5 5 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.35 74 307 649 513 360 MIX HGT (FT)....300 700 3100 6500 7300 6000 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 41. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 91 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH BECOMING CALM BY LATE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 11 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0). MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL BY LATE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........42 38 32 27 27 27 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............70 60 53 48 46 43 RH..............31 44 59 71 79 89 GENERAL WIND....N 5 N 5 NW 2 NW 2 NW 2 W 3 GENERAL GUST....10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.234 50 0 10 10 6 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 1000 BLW100 300 300 100 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 79. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 22 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........6...OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (341) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (842) IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6400-8300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........27 26 25 24 24 23 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............45 60 74 77 78 77 RH..............84 45 27 23 22 23 GENERAL WIND....W 4 W 4 NW 6 NW 6 NW 6 NW 6 GENERAL GUST....5 5 10 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.18 112 341 687 830 764 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1400 4300 7600 8300 6400 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 6 6 $$ FORECASTER...JLA REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100518.BUCKT.01/MQT