FNUS73 KAPX 191051 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR TWO FIRES...DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 651 AM EDT WED MAY 19 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0627 EDT ON MAY 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN PRECIPITATION FREE CONDITIONS TODAY INTO THURSDAY. HOWEVER...VERY WARM TEMPERATURES IN COMBINATION WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE UPPER TEENS WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE DANGER DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. LIGHT WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME NORTHWEST BY LATE MORNING AT 5 TO 8 MPH WITH POSSIBLE AFTERNOON GUSTS OF 15 MPH OR SO. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE QUITE HIGH AT AROUND 7600 FEET WITH HAINES INDEXES OF 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BECOME EXCELLENT LATER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........39 AT REQUEST...MAX 78. MIN HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 18 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 4 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO 2 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 9 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL AT REQUEST...INCREASING TO 7600 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0) AT REQUEST. MAX...EXCELLENT (1300). TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........0 0 14 14 14 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 TEMP............37 42 46 54 61 68 71 73 76 78 78 76 RH..............90 84 76 57 46 36 29 24 20 17 17 18 20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..2 4 2 3 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 5 5 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SMOKE DISP......0 0 0 100 200 300 600 10001300120010001000 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....43. MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 14 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 14 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........30 30 13 13 13 13 13 13 8 8 8 8 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............73 70 69 64 58 53 51 49 47 46 45 44 RH..............19 21 21 27 36 46 56 69 83 88 93 96 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....83. MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX GOOD(500). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........8 8 8 8 10 10 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............45 53 67 76 81 80 RH..............93 66 40 28 23 21 20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 3 NW 4 NW 5 NW 6 NW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 SMOKE DISP......0 0 200 400 500 500 $$ FORECASTER...ANDREW SULLIVAN REQUESTED BY...JIM FISHER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100519.TWOFI.01/APX