FNUS74 KLIX 191410 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 910 AM CDT WED MAY 19 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... 1012MB LOW LOCATED OVER THE CAROLINAS WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTENDING INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MS AND CENTRAL LA. PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE GULF RANGES FROM 1015MB NEAR TAMPA TO 1010MB AT CORPUS CHRISTI. SFC PRESSURE AT SPOT LOCATION...1013MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...WIDESPREAD SEERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...A FEW ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENERAL NON-SVR TSTMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY. .WIND PROFILE... 13Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SW 6KT 1KFT...SW 9KT 2KFT...W 5KT 3KFT...SW 2KT 4KFT...S 5KT 5KFT...S 8KT MAX WIND...247/46KT 46.1KFT. DRY LAPSE RATE TO 550 FEET...THEN MOIST LAPSE RATE TO 6100 FEET...DRY TO 12000 FEET. ROUGHLY MOIST LAPSE RATE ABOVE. DRY THROUGH THE COLUMN...P.W. 1.09 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 191351Z AUTO 19006KT 8SM CLR 27/23 A2995 METAR KGAO 191402Z AUTO 15004KT 10SM SCT018 28/23 A2994 METAR KHSA 191351Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 23/22 A2994 METAR KIPN 191355Z AUTO 15007KT 10SM CLR 27/22 A2995 METAR KMYT 191355Z AUTO 20006KT 7SM CLR 29/24 A2994 METAR KSPR 191400Z AUTO 19008KT 10SM 27/24 A2992 METAR KMDJ 191355Z AUTO 20004KT 10SM FEW003 28/24 A2995 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030...ISOLD TSTMS 18-02Z. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...FEW015-030...ISO TSTMS 29N/90W 18Z-24Z. TAF KHUM 191120Z 1912/2012 09003KT 4SM BR SCT250 FM191400 14004KT P6SM FEW035 FM191800 18007KT P6SM VCTS SCT045CB FM200200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= TAF KHSA 191400Z 1914/2012 14004KT P6SM SCT030 FM191800 17007KT P6SM SCT045 FM200200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT200. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES ON RADAR AT THIS TIME. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.53 FT AT 0830 CDT...FORECAST HIGH TIDE IS 1.89 FT AT 1230 CDT. WYCM6 1.40 FT AT 0830 CDT...FORECAST HIGH TIDE IS 2.63 FT AT 1600 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 80.3F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........41 41 41 41 39 39 39 39 39 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....N SIG WX.............................. TEMP............77 78 78 78 79 79 79 79 79 RH..............85 82 82 82 79 79 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW N NE NE E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 2 2 1 2 2 4 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 6 6 6 3 3 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH................................ .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........39 40 40 40 38 38 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............78 77 76 76 76 76 RH..............82 85 89 89 89 89 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1300 1400 1400 1400 1400 MIX HGT (M).....460 400 430 430 430 430 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 3 SW 2 S 7 S 7 S 13 S 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH................................ .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........38 30 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............76 77 79 80 81 81 RH..............87 85 81 78 76 76 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 E 6 E 6 E 7 E 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1300 1400 1400 1400 1400 MIX HGT (M).....430 400 430 430 430 430 TRANSPORT WIND..S 14 S 13 S 13 S 13 SE 13 SE 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH................................ $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100519.DEEPW.05/LIX