FNUS74 KLIX 191805 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 105 PM CDT WED MAY 19 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... 1012MB LOW LOCATED OVER THE CAROLINAS WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTENDING INTO SOUTHERN MS AND SOUTHEASTERN LA. ABOUT 6MB GRADIENT ACROSS THE GULF...WITH A 1016MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR TAMPA TO 1010MB NEAR CORPUS CHRISTI. SFC PRESSURE AT SPOT LOCATION...1015MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...A FEW ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENERAL NON-SVR TSTMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY. .WIND PROFILE... 18Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...S 7KT 1KFT...S 7KT 2KFT...S 9KT 3KFT...S 10KT 4KFT...S 11KT 5KFT...S 11KT MAX WIND...253/51KT 53.1KFT. ROUGHLY MOIST LAPSE RATE THROUGH 14000 FT WITH WEAK INVERSION FROM 14000 FT TO 18000 FT. ROUGHLY MOIST LAPSE RATE ABOVE 18000. DRY THROUGH THE COLUMN...P.W. 1.02 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 191751Z AUTO 21006KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2994 METAR KGAO 191742Z AUTO 15009KT 10SM CLR 31/21 A2992 METAR KHSA 191751Z 20004KT 10SM SCT033 SCT043 29/21 A2992 METAR KIPN 191735Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 29/22 A2995 METAR KMYT 191735Z AUTO 19009KT 9SM FEW015 31/24 A2994 METAR KSPR 191740Z AUTO 20009KT 10SM 27/24 A2992 METAR KMDJ 191735Z AUTO 18007KT 10SM BKN014 BKN021 29/24 A2994 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030...ISOLD TSTMS 18-02Z. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...FEW015-030...ISO TSTMS 29N/90W 18Z-24Z. TAF KHUM 191744Z 1918/2018 18003KT P6SM SCT035CB BKN060 TEMPO 1919/1923 3SM -TSRA BKN035CB FM200200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= TAF KHSA 191744Z 1918/2018 09003KT P6SM SCT030 FM191900 17007KT P6SM SCT045 FM200200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT200. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT E WND. .RADAR... ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO AFFECT AREAS TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF HOUMA. CLOSEST THUNDERSTORM IS ABOUT 10 MILES DUE WEST OF HOUMA AND MOVING NORTHEAST...PRODUCING INFREQUENT LIGHTNING. A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO NOTED ABOUT 50 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE SPILL SITE. THUNDERSTORMS NEAREST THE SPILL SITE ARE CURRENTLY PRODUCING OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING...AROUND 5 STRIKES EVERY 5 MINUTES. ELSEWHERE...NO LIGHTNING IS DETECTED AT THIS TIME. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.66 FT AT 1230 CDT...FORECAST LOW TIDE IS 0.36 FT AT MIDNIGHT CDT. WYCM6 1.86 FT AT 1230 CDT...FORECAST HIGH TIDE IS 2.63 FT AT 1600 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 80.3F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........40 40 40 40 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NO SIG WX............ TEMP............81 79 79 79 79 RH..............79 79 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 4 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 3 3 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH.............. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........40 40 40 40 38 38 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............78 77 76 76 76 76 RH..............82 85 89 89 89 89 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1300 1400 1400 1400 1400 MIX HGT (M).....460 400 430 430 430 430 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 3 SW 2 S 7 S 7 S 13 S 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 3 SW 2 S 7 S 7 S 13 S 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH................................... .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........38 30 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............76 77 79 80 81 81 RH..............87 85 81 78 76 76 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 E 6 E 6 E 7 E 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1300 1400 1400 1400 1400 MIX HGT (M).....430 400 430 430 430 430 TRANSPORT WIND..S 14 S 13 S 13 S 13 SE 13 SE 13 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 14 S 13 S 13 S 13 SE 13 SE 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH................................... $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100519.DEEPW.09/LIX