FNUS74 KLIX 192214 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 514 PM CDT WED MAY 19 2010 .SYNOPSIS... 1010MB LOW LOCATED OVER THE COASTAL CAROLINAS WITH ASSOCD CD FNT EXTNDG INTO SRN MS AND SE LA. RELATIVELY FLAT GRADIENT FROM THE E GLFMEX TO CNTRL GLFMEX. 1014MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR KTPA WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING WWD TO THE CNTRL GLFMEX. 4MB GRADIENT FROM WESTERN EXTENT OF RIDGE AXIS TO KBRO ...1007MB. SFC PRESSURE AT SPOT LOCATION...1013MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...A FEW ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE TSTMS WILL BE PSBL THIS AFTN. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS LAND AREAS. .WIND PROFILE... 21Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SW 5KT 1KFT...SW 9KT 2KFT...SW 7KT 3KFT...SW 9KT 4KFT...SW 8KT 5KFT...SW 9KT MAX WIND...261/51KT 48.2KFT. ROUGHLY MOIST LAPSE RATE THROUGH ENTIRE COLUMN. DRY THROUGH THE COLUMN...P.W. 1.05 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 192151Z AUTO 18007KT 10SM FEW020 28/23 A2989 RMK AO2 SLP121 T02830233 TSNO METAR KGAO 192142Z AUTO 18007KT 10SM SCT034 30/22 A2987 METAR KHSA 192151Z 18010G15KT 10SM SCT025 SCT030 28/21 A2987 METAR KIPN 192150Z AUTO 07003KT 10SM OVC026 27/22 A2991 METAR KMYT 192155Z AUTO 19007KT 7SM SCT018 SCT023 31/24 A2989 METAR KSPR 192200Z AUTO 23004KT 10SM 27/23 A2987 METAR KMDJ 192155Z AUTO 19009KT 10SM SCT018 BKN028 BKN037 27/24 A2990 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030...ISOLD 1SM +TSRA 22-02Z. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...SCT030...ISOLD TSRA 29N/90W 22Z-24Z. TAF KHUM 191744Z 1918/2018 18003KT P6SM SCT035CB BKN060 TEMPO 1919/1923 3SM -TSRA BKN035CB FM200200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= TAF KHSA 191744Z 1918/2018 09003KT P6SM SCT030 FM191900 17007KT P6SM SCT045 FM200200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT200. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES WITHIN THE OPERATIONS AREA. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM LOWER TIMBALIER BAY OUT 10NM...MOVG N 10KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.45 FT AT 1637 CDT...FORECAST LOW TIDE IS 0.36 FT AT MIDNIGHT CDT. WYCM6 2.24 FT AT 1707 CDT...FORECAST HIGH TIDE IS 2.28 FT AT 1600 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.1F .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 38 38 38 38 38 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............80 80 79 78 77 77 76 76 76 75 75 75 75 RH..............76 81 84 86 86 86 87 89 90 91 93 94 94 20 FT WIND DIR..NE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..2 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW E E E SE SE SE S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 1 1 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8 CIGS (FT-AGL)...S30.....................S20........................ TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 0 0 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH........................................... .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........38 30 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 77 79 80 81 81 RH..............93 88 84 84 84 86 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 E 6 E 6 E 8 E 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....700 1100 1200 1200 1300 1300 MIX HGT (M).....210 340 370 370 400 400 TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 SE 8 SE 6 SE 6 E 9 SE 9 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 8 SE 8 SE 6 SE 6 E 9 SE 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH................................... .THURSDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........30 30 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............80 78 76 76 75 75 RH..............88 94 96 100 99 100 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 1200 1200 1200 1100 1000 MIX HGT (M).....400 370 370 370 340 300 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 SE 10 SE 14 SE 14 SE 15 SE 12 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 9 SE 10 SE 14 SE 14 SE 15 SE 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH................................. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100519.DEEPW.13/LIX