FNUS75 KTFX 181628 FWSTFX SPOT FORECAST FOR MN 1...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT 1028 AM MDT TUE MAY 18 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MAY 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A SURFACE FRONT FROM THE PACIFIC WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BURN AREA THIS EVENING WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY BUT WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE A PROBLEM...EVEN AT RIDGE TOP LEVEL. CURRENT FORECAST IS CALLING FOR ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...ONE MODEL IS SHOWING AN AREA OF WETTING RAIN OVER THE LITTLE BELT MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY MORNING. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE WELL EAST OF THE BURN AREA ON WEDNESDAY. MPJ .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. CWR.................40 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47. MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH. UPR SLP/RIDGETOP...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CWR.................10 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67. MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH. UPR SLP/RIDGETOP...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTH ABOUT 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 5 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...MPJ REQUESTED BY...JESS SECREST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100519.MN1__.01/TFX