FNUS73 KAPX 202123 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR STOUT ROAD...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 523 PM EDT THU MAY 20 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1650 EDT ON MAY 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...LAKE HURON INDUCED SURFACE FRONT HAS RECENTLY PASSED ACROSS THE BURN SITE...RESULTING IN LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS AND A SLIGHT UPTICK IN RH VALUES. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH CONDITIONS GOING CALM QUICKLY THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES HAVE REACHED THEIR MAX FOR THE DAY...AND WILL SEE A SLOW FALL-OFF THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON UNDER CLEAR SKIES. COMBINATION OF COOLING TEMPERATURES AND LAKE HURON MOISTURE FLUX WILL ALSO RESULT IN STEADY RH RECOVERY THROUGH THE EVENING...WITH VALUES REACHING AROUND 60 PERCENT BY MIDNIGHT...FURTHER INCREASING TO THE LOWER 80S BY MORNING. SOUTHEAST WINDS TO BECOME REESTABLISHED QUICKLY FRIDAY MORNING...WITH SPEEDS INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON... WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING LATE...CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....47. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1200 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MIN 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........30 30 15 15 15 15 15 15 9 9 9 9 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............80 75 71 66 62 58 56 54 53 52 51 51 RH..............23 28 32 42 52 64 69 71 74 77 83 83 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 5 5 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SMOKE DISP......400 400 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1100 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX POOR(100). MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........9 37 37 74 82 82 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............51 54 63 71 74 73 RH..............83 77 54 39 34 35 20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 4 SE 6 SE 7 SE 8 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 15 20 15 HAINES INDEX....5 4 5 5 5 4 SMOKE DISP......0 0 0 100 100 100 $$ FORECASTER...MIKE BOGUTH REQUESTED BY...MATOS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100520.STOUT.01/APX