FNUS73 KDLH 201644
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRINKS 8C SOUTH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1144 AM CDT THU MAY 20 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MAY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CHALLENGING FORECAST TODAY AS A NORTHEAST LAKE
BREEZE HAS DEVELOPED THIS MORNING AND PUSHED INLAND IN THE LAST
HOUR. THE LAKE BREEZE HAS ENCOUNTERED SOME RESISTANCE NEAR THE
SLIGHTLY HIGHER ELEVATION AND WARMER LOCATION NEAR THE PRESCRIBED
BURN IN BAYFIELD COUNTY. SO THERE IS STILL A CHANCE OF A SECOND
PUSH OF MARINE AIR LATER THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER CURRENT
CONFIDENCE IN THIS IS LOW. EXPECTING TEMPERATURES TO INCREASE INTO
THE MID 80S WITH HUMIDITIES DROPPING INTO THE UPPER TEENS AND
WINDS LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE.
EXPECT SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AROUND THE
AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND THEN DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET
TONIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A HIGH LEVEL CLOUD DECK STREAMING IN FROM
THE SOUTH...BUT LITTLE OR NO IMPACT TO SURFACE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE INFLUENCE FROM THE LAKE THROUGH
THE PERIOD BECAUSE CHANGES IN TEMPERATURES...HUMIDITIES AND WINDS
COULD CHANGE RAPIDLY. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE FEEL
FREE TO GIVE ME A CALL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...SCATTERED MID LEVEL CUMULUS
                    CLOUDS DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTH.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 4 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11600).

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
TEMP............82     83     79     76
RH..............23     21     19     24
20 FT WIND DIR..E      NE     NE     NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5      6      6      5
20 FT WIND GUST.7      8      8      7

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2650).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............73     64     57     53     50     48
RH..............31     43     55     66     75     79
20 FT WIND DIR..NE     NE     NE     NE     NE     E
20 FT WIND SPD..5      5      3      2      2      2
20 FT WIND GUST.7      6

$$
FORECASTER...BRIAN
REQUESTED BY...STEVE RADAJ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100520.BRINK.01/DLH