FNUS74 KLIX 201516 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1016 AM CDT THU MAY 20 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... SFC LOW OVER NORTHEASTERN OK CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST TOWARDS THE MID MS VALLEY WHILE 1019MB SFC HIGH WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. 6MB PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE GULF WITH 1015MB ALONG THE FL PENINSULA TO 1009 MB ALONG THE LOWER TX COAST. THIS IS PROVIDING LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW. SFC PRESSURE OVER THE SPOT LOCATION IS 1014MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS LAND AREAS. GENERAL RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MARINE AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...NO RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. .WIND PROFILE... 12Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 12KT 250FT... SE 12KT 500FT... SE 13KT 1KFT... SE 14KT 2KFT... SE 16KT 3KFT...SSE 17KT 4KFT... SE 15KT 5KFT... SE 15KT MAX WIND...269/50KT 46.0KFT. ROUGHLY MOIST LAPSE RATE THROUGH ENTIRE COLUMN. NEUTRAL LAPSE RATE 1800 TO 6600 FT....P.W. 1.61 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 201451Z AUTO 16008KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP142 T02780233 51014 TSNO $ METAR KGAO 201442Z AUTO 16005KT 10SM SCT021 SCT036 28/23 A2994 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 201451Z 15005KT 10SM SCT023 SCT050 28/22 A2994 METAR KIPN 201450Z AUTO 15009KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 201455Z AUTO 18013KT 9SM SCT018 BKN024 BKN032 29/23 A2994 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 201500Z AUTO 18011KT 10SM 28/24 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 201455Z AUTO 17009KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 201455Z AUTO 15009KT 10SM BKN016 BKN020 BKN024 29/24 A2994 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR LCL MVFR SCT/BKN030...ISOLD TSTMS 18-02Z. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...FEW/SCT 020-030...ISO SHRA 18Z-02Z. TAF KHUM 201122Z 2012/2112 16006KT P6SM SCT025 SCT035 FM201800 16007KT P6SM SCT035 SCT250 FM202100 16008KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB SCT250 FM210100 16005KT P6SM SCT250 FM210900 15004KT 6SM BR SCT020 TEMPO 2110/2112 5SM BR= TAF KHSA 201122Z 2012/2112 18005KT P6SM SCT020 SCT050 FM201800 17007KT P6SM SCT030 BKN250 FM202200 16007KT P6SM VCTS BKN040CB BKN250 PROB30 2022/2102 3SM -TSRA BKN030CB FM210200 16005KT P6SM SCT050 SCT250 FM211000 00000KT 3SM BR SCT015= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY...VFR SCT030. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY...VFR SCT200. LGT-MDT SE WND. .RADAR... ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS WERE OCCURRING ALONG THE SOUTHSHORE AND FURTHER INLAND. THIS ACTIVITY IS MOVING TO THE NORTH AT 11 KTS. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING WAS DETECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.59 FT AT 1003 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.64 FT AT 1300 CDT. WYCM6 1.66 FT AT 0956 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.43 FT AT 1600 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 80F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............79 79 80 80 80 80 80 80 RH..............82 79 76 74 74 74 74 76 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE E E E SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LT CHOP TO SHOPPY.............. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........30 30 30 30 33 47 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............79 78 77 77 77 77 RH..............76 79 85 85 85 85 20 FT WIND......E 8 E 8 SE 7 SE 9 SE 8 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2300 2200 2200 2100 2000 MIX HGT (M).....700 700 670 670 640 610 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 8 SE 8 SE 12 SE 12 SE 10 SE 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LT CHOP................................. .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........61 62 52 42 40 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 78 79 80 80 80 RH..............85 82 79 77 77 77 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 E 6 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 1900 2000 2000 2200 2100 MIX HGT (M).....610 580 610 610 670 640 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 SE 8 E 6 E 6 E 8 E 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LT CHOP................................. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100520.DEEPW.06/LIX