FNUS74 KLIX 201615 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1115 AM CDT THU MAY 20 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... 1007MB SFC LOW OVER OK/KS BORDER CONTINUES TO SLOWLY PUSH EAST TOWARDS THE MID MS VALLEY WHILE 1019MB SFC HIGH WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. 6MB PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE GULF WITH 1015MB ALONG THE FL PENINSULA TO 1009 MB ALONG THE LOWER TX COAST. THIS IS PROVIDING LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW. SFC PRESSURE OVER THE SPOT LOCATION IS 1015MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS LAND AREAS. GENERAL RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MARINE AREAS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...NO RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. .WIND PROFILE... 12Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 9KT 250FT... SE 9KT 500FT... SE 11KT 1KFT...SSE 15KT 2KFT...SSE 21KT 3KFT...SSE 19KT 4KFT...SSE 14KT 5KFT... SE 15KT MAX WIND...262/52KT 46.2KFT. ROUGHLY MOIST LAPSE RATE THROUGH ENTIRE COLUMN. NEUTRAL LAPSE RATE 2500 TO 6600 FT....P.W. 1.47 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 201551Z AUTO 10SM CLR 29/23 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP147 T02890233 TSNO $ METAR KGAO 201602Z AUTO 17008G14KT CLR 31/22 A2995 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 201555Z 18008G15KT 10SM SCT021 BKN030 28/23 A2994 METAR KIPN 201550Z AUTO 15007KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 201555Z AUTO 17013KT 9SM CLR 29/23 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 201600Z AUTO 18010KT 10SM 28/24 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 201555Z AUTO 17010KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 201555Z AUTO 16008KT 120V180 10SM SCT014 BKN022 BKN032 30/24 A2995 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR LCL MVFR SCT/BKN030...ISOLD TSTMS 18-02Z. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...FEW/SCT 020-030...ISO SHRA 18Z-02Z. TAF KHUM 201122Z 2012/2112 16006KT P6SM SCT025 SCT040 FM201800 16007KT P6SM SCT035 SCT250 FM202100 16008KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB SCT250 FM210100 16005KT P6SM SCT250 FM210900 15004KT 6SM BR SCT020 TEMPO 2110/2112 5SM BR= TAF KHSA 201122Z 2012/2112 18005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN035 FM201800 17007KT P6SM SCT030 BKN250 FM202200 16007KT P6SM VCTS BKN040CB BKN250 PROB30 2022/2102 3SM -TSRA BKN030CB FM210200 16005KT P6SM SCT050 SCT250 FM211000 00000KT 3SM BR SCT015= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY...VFR SCT030. LGT-MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY...VFR SCT200. LGT-MDT SE WND. .RADAR... ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS WERE OCCURRING ALONG THE SOUTHSHORE AND FURTHER INLAND. THIS ACTIVITY IS MOVING TO THE NORTH AT 11 KTS. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING WAS DETECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.63 FT AT 1003 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.67 FT AT 1300 CDT. WYCM6 1.74 FT AT 1057 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.35 FT AT 1600 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 80F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........30 30 30 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............79 80 80 80 80 80 80 RH..............79 76 74 74 74 74 76 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 7 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E E E SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LT CHOP.................... .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........30 30 30 30 33 47 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............79 78 77 77 77 77 RH..............76 79 85 85 85 85 20 FT WIND......E 8 E 8 SE 7 SE 9 SE 8 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2300 2200 2200 2100 2000 MIX HGT (M).....700 700 670 670 640 610 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 8 SE 8 SE 12 SE 12 SE 10 SE 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LT CHOP................................. .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........61 62 52 42 40 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 78 79 80 80 80 RH..............85 82 79 77 77 77 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 E 6 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 1900 2000 2000 2200 2100 MIX HGT (M).....610 580 610 610 670 640 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 SE 8 E 6 E 6 E 8 E 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LT CHOP................................. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100520.DEEPW.07/LIX